China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xvi

   PDF

2. China Economic Performance in the First Half of 2016

   • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University

   Pages 1-21

3. Quarterly Forecast for 2016–17

   • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University

   Pages 23-33

4. Policy Simulation: Macroeconomic Effects of Slowdown in Private Investment Growth

   • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University

   Pages 35-50

5. Policy Implications and Suggestions

   • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University

   Pages 51-54

6. Back Matter

   Pages 55-61

   PDF

This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the “China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM),” a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the CQMM model, the research team forecast major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters, including the rate of GDP growth, the CPI, fixed-asset investment, resident consumption and foreign trade. At the same time it focuses on simulation of current macroeconomic policies in China. In addition to helping readers understand China’s economic trend and policy guide, this book has three main goals: to help readers understand China’s economic performance; to forecast the main macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters; and to simulate the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies.

• Chinese Economy
• China’s Economic Performance
• China’s Macroeconomic
• Mcroeconomic Policies
• Forecast and Analysis
• GDP Growth
• CPI
• Fixed-asset Investment
• Resident Consumption
• Foreign Trade

• CMR of Xiamen University, Xiamen, China

  CMR of Xiamen University

Policies and ethics