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A simulation approach to the study of human fertility

  • Book
  • © 1978

Overview

Authors:
  1. Gigi Santow
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Table of contents (7 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-X
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  2. Introduction

    • Gigi Santow
    Pages 1-17

  3. The model

    • Gigi Santow
    Pages 19-39

  4. Biological input

    • Gigi Santow
    Pages 41-74

  5. Refinement of the model

    • Gigi Santow
    Pages 75-104

  6. The effects on fertility of breastfeeding and sexual abstinence

    • Gigi Santow
    Pages 105-137

  7. The physiological relationship between fertility and infant and child mortality

    • Gigi Santow
    Pages 139-164

  8. The effects on fertility of contraception and family size ideals

    • Gigi Santow
    Pages 165-200

  9. Back Matter

    Pages 201-217
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Keywords

About this book

This book is an amended and somewhat shorter version of my doctoral thesis which I submitted to the Australian National University in 1976, and subsequently edited at the Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute in 1977. The work falls naturally into two parts. The first is concerned with the construction and validation of a model, and the second with its application as an experimental tool. In the first part, comprising Chapters One to Four, an examination of historical and contemporary models of population growth led to the decision to study changes in fertility by means of a biological micro simulation model. The reasons supporting the choice of such a model were discussed, and a search of the literature produced the data to be used as model input. The effects of varying the input were examined and then the model output was tested against Hutterite data. The main emphasis of the second part of the work, comprising Chapters Five to Seven, was the testing of the effect on the fertility of one society of variations in the duration of the post partum period of non-susceptibility to conception, and in the level of infant and child mortality. Further simulations were performed to discover the impact on fertility of the use of contraception to attain different family sizes, both with and without the additional effect of infant and child mortality.

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