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Outlook for Japanese and German Future Technology

Comparing Technology Forecast Surveys

  • Book
  • © 1994

Overview

Authors:
  1. Kerstin Cuhls

    1. Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, Karlsruhe, Germany

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  2. Terutaka Kuwahara

    1. National Institute of Science and Technology Policy, Chiyoda-Ku Tokyo 100, Japan

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    You can also search for this author in PubMed   Google Scholar

Part of the book series: Technology, Innovation and Policy (ISI) (3217, volume 1)

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Table of contents (5 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-XVI
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  2. General Method

    • Kerstin Cuhls, Terutaka Kuwahara
    Pages 1-41

  3. Basic Macro Comparison

    • Kerstin Cuhls, Terutaka Kuwahara
    Pages 41-97

  4. Cross Comparisons on the Macro Level

    • Kerstin Cuhls, Terutaka Kuwahara
    Pages 98-143

  5. Cross Comparisons of Technological Topics on the Micro Level

    • Kerstin Cuhls, Terutaka Kuwahara
    Pages 144-227

  6. Conclusions

    • Kerstin Cuhls, Terutaka Kuwahara
    Pages 227-235

  7. Back Matter

    Pages 236-238
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Keywords

About this book

In Japan, the Delphi method is applied since 1971 to foresee possible technological developments. The same approach was used in Germany in 1992 for the first time. The German expert survey about the development of future technology was based on the Japanese survey conducted in 1991 and discussed the same topics.
In this book, the results of both studies are compared and analysed. From the comparison, conclusions can be drawn on the relevance of certain technology fields or disciplines not only for public technology policy but also for companies. Possible times of realization, constraints on the realization, the current R&D level of nations or the necessity of international co-operation give hints about tomorrow's technology and its economic and societal impacts.

Authors and Affiliations

  • Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, Karlsruhe, Germany

    Kerstin Cuhls

  • National Institute of Science and Technology Policy, Chiyoda-Ku Tokyo 100, Japan

    Terutaka Kuwahara

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: Outlook for Japanese and German Future Technology

  • Book Subtitle: Comparing Technology Forecast Surveys

  • Authors: Kerstin Cuhls, Terutaka Kuwahara

  • Series Title: Technology, Innovation and Policy (ISI)

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-99773-0

  • Publisher: Physica Heidelberg

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

  • Copyright Information: Physica-Verlag Heidelberg 1994

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-3-7908-0800-1Published: 26 October 1994

  • eBook ISBN: 978-3-642-99773-0Published: 06 December 2012

  • Series ISSN: 1431-9667

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XVI, 238

  • Topics: R & D/Technology Policy

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