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Springer Theses

Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones

Authors: Suzuki-Parker, Asuka

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  • Nominated by the Georgia Univesity of Technology for a Springer Theses Prize
  • This work investigates how tropical cyclone intensity will change over the next 50 years - a question of high interest to industrial and governmental communities
  • New approach to asses weather extremes in climate models and current observations
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eBook $89.00
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-3-642-25029-3
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
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  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $139.99
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-3-642-25028-6
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Institutional customers should get in touch with their account manager
  • Covid-19 shipping restrictions
  • Usually ready to be dispatched within 3 to 5 business days, if in stock
Softcover $119.99
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-3-662-50872-5
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Institutional customers should get in touch with their account manager
  • Covid-19 shipping restrictions
  • Usually ready to be dispatched within 3 to 5 business days, if in stock
About this book

The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting and
tracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach to
enable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models.
The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropical
cyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice of
selection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time were
relatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to future
assessments of climate impacts on hurricanes.
The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches to
statistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regional
climate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes.
Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method of
determining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are most
vulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptation
strategies.

Table of contents (6 chapters)

Table of contents (6 chapters)

Buy this book

eBook $89.00
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-3-642-25029-3
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: EPUB, PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $139.99
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-3-642-25028-6
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Institutional customers should get in touch with their account manager
  • Covid-19 shipping restrictions
  • Usually ready to be dispatched within 3 to 5 business days, if in stock
Softcover $119.99
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-3-662-50872-5
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Institutional customers should get in touch with their account manager
  • Covid-19 shipping restrictions
  • Usually ready to be dispatched within 3 to 5 business days, if in stock
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones
Authors
Series Title
Springer Theses
Copyright
2012
Publisher
Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
Copyright Holder
Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
eBook ISBN
978-3-642-25029-3
DOI
10.1007/978-3-642-25029-3
Hardcover ISBN
978-3-642-25028-6
Softcover ISBN
978-3-662-50872-5
Series ISSN
2190-5053
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XIII, 78
Topics