Overview
- Offers an innovative method to improve critical decision-making in organizations
- Features realistic example test drives of critical problems of broad interest to businesses
- Features two instructional videos online
- Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras
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About this book
This title provides managers, executives and other professionals with an innovative method for critical decision-making. The book explains the reasons for decision failures using the Law of Unintended Consequences. This account draws on the work of sociologist Robert K. Merton, psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, and economist Herbert Simon to identify two primary causes: cognitive biases and bounded rationality. It introduces an innovative method for “test driving” decisions that addresses both causes by combining scenario planning and “what-if” simulations. This method enables professionals to learn safely from virtual mistakes rather than real ones. It also provides four sample test drives of realistic critical decisions as well as two instructional videos to illustrate this new method. This book provides leaders and their support teams with important new tools for analyzing and refining complex decisions that are critical to organizational well-being and survival.
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Keywords
- Critical Decision-making
- Decision Analysis
- decision strategy
- decision science
- Law of Unintended Consequences
- Robert K. Merton
- Amos Tversky
- Daniel Kahneman
- Herbert Simon
- Psychology of Critical Decision Making
- Decision Test-Drives
- Decision Lifecycle
- DecisionPath
- Rational Decision Making
- Modeling and Simulating Critical Decisions
- ForeTell Software
- Modeling Transformational Change
Table of contents (15 chapters)
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Front Matter
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Part III
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Front Matter
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Part IV
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Front Matter
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Authors and Affiliations
About the author
Richard M. Adler is Founder and President of DecisionPath (USA), where he creates advanced decision support solutions for diverse problems including competitive marketing, counter-terrorism strategy, and enabling organizational change. He has more than three decades of experience building software tools and applications to automate and improve business operations and critical decision-making. Richard has published on topics including intelligent and distributed systems, simulation, homeland security, and knowledge management.
Bibliographic Information
Book Title: Bending the Law of Unintended Consequences
Book Subtitle: A Test-Drive Method for Critical Decision-Making in Organizations
Authors: Richard M. Adler
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32714-9
Publisher: Springer Cham
eBook Packages: Business and Management, Business and Management (R0)
Copyright Information: Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020
Hardcover ISBN: 978-3-030-32713-2Published: 11 February 2020
Softcover ISBN: 978-3-030-32716-3Published: 11 February 2021
eBook ISBN: 978-3-030-32714-9Published: 10 February 2020
Edition Number: 1
Number of Pages: XXI, 304
Number of Illustrations: 58 b/w illustrations
Topics: Business Strategy/Leadership, Industrial and Organizational Psychology, Operations Research/Decision Theory, Organization, Business Process Management