Future Studies and Counterfactual Analysis

Seeds of the Future

Authors: Gordon, Theodore, Todorova, Mariana

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  • Builds on previous futures research by considering possible outcomes of current global anxieties
  • Weaves careful description of current issues and historical events with hypothetical future scenarios to provide engaging, thoughtful analysis
  • Engages with timely topics, such as truth and the role of technology
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  • ISBN 978-3-030-18437-7
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Hardcover $89.99
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Softcover $59.99
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  • ISBN 978-3-030-18439-1
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About this book

In this volume, the authors contribute to futures research by placing the counterfactual question in the future tense. They explore the possible outcomes of future, and consider how future decisions are turning points that may produce different global outcomes. This book focuses on a dozen or so intractable issues that span politics, religion, and technology, each addressed in individual chapters. Until now, most scenarios written by futurists have been built on cause and effect narratives or depended on numerical models derived from historical relationships. In contrast, many of the scenarios written for this book are point descriptions of future discontinuities, a form allows more thought-provoking presentations. Ultimately, this book demonstrates that counterfactual thinking and point scenarios of discontinuities are new, groundbreaking tools for futurists.

About the authors

Mr. Theodore J. Gordon, co-founder of the Millennium Project, the Institute for the Future, and the Futures Group, Inc., is a well- known futurist and senior author of this book. He has authored many books and professional papers, and in past years was Chief Engineer for the Apollo 3rd Stage lunar rocket.

Dr. Mariana Todorova, PhD is a researcher at Bulgarian Academy of Sciences and has been a Member of the Bulgarian Parliament. Todorova is a Chair of Millennium project Bulgarian node. She is building a new methodology of forecasting based on counterfactual analysis. She is an analyst, futurist, strategist, and trend tracker.

Table of contents (14 chapters)

Table of contents (14 chapters)

Buy this book

eBook $44.99
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-3-030-18437-7
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: EPUB, PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $89.99
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-3-030-18436-0
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Institutional customers should get in touch with their account manager
  • Covid-19 shipping restrictions
  • Usually ready to be dispatched within 3 to 5 business days, if in stock
Softcover $59.99
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-3-030-18439-1
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Institutional customers should get in touch with their account manager
  • Covid-19 shipping restrictions
  • Usually ready to be dispatched within 3 to 5 business days, if in stock
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Future Studies and Counterfactual Analysis
Book Subtitle
Seeds of the Future
Authors
Copyright
2019
Publisher
Palgrave Macmillan
Copyright Holder
The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
eBook ISBN
978-3-030-18437-7
DOI
10.1007/978-3-030-18437-7
Hardcover ISBN
978-3-030-18436-0
Softcover ISBN
978-3-030-18439-1
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XII, 194
Number of Illustrations
1 b/w illustrations
Topics