Diagnosis and Prediction

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-ix

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2. Comparision of Treatments for Otitis Media Using Multiple Diagnostic Methods

   • Chap T. Le, Erin M. Conlon, Bruce R. Lindgren

   Pages 1-5

3. The Utility of the Hui-Walter Paradigm for the Evaluation of Diagnostic Test in the Analysis of Social Science Data

   • Michael D. Sinclair, Joseph L. Gastwirth

   Pages 7-29

4. On the Optimal Administration of Multiple Screening Tests

   • Ming-Dauh Wang, Seymour Geisser

   Pages 31-64

5. Multinomial Prediction Intervals for Micro-Scale Highway Emissions

   • Jessica M. Utts, Debbie A. Niemeier

   Pages 65-73

6. Survival Analysis for Interval Data

   • Wesley O. Johnson

   Pages 75-90

7. Bayesian Interim Analysis of Weibull Regression Models with Gamma Frailty

   • George D. Papandonatos

   Pages 91-108

8. Monte Carlo Minimization for One Step Ahead Sequential Control

   • Li-Shya Chen, Seymour Geisser, Charles J. Geyer

   Pages 109-129

9. Multivariate Discrete Models for Longevity in Twins

   • Daniel Zelterman, Chang Yu

   Pages 131-140

10. Back Matter

    Pages 141-148

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This IMA Volume in Mathematics and its Applications DIAGNOSIS AND PREDICTION is one of the series based on the proceedings of a very successful 1997 IMA Summer Program on "Statistics in the Health Sciences. " I would like to thank Seymour Geisser of University of Minnesota, School of Statistics for his excellent work as organizer of the meeting and for editing the proceedings. I am grateful to Donald A. Berry, Duke Uni­ versity (Statistics); Patricia Grambsch, University of Minnesota (Biostatis­ tics); Joel Greenhouse, Carnegie Mellon University (Statistics); Nicholas Lange, Harvard Medical School (Brain Imaging Center, McLean Hospital); Barry Margolin, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill (Biostatistics); Sandy Weisberg, University of Minnesota (Statistics); Scott Zeger, Johns Hopkins University (Biostatistics); and Marvin Zelen, Harvard School of Public Health (Biostatistics) for organizing the six weeks summer program. I also take this opportunity to thank the National Science Foundation (NSF) and the Army Research Office (ARO), whose financial support made the workshop possible. Willard Miller, Jr. , Professor and Director v PREFACE This volume contains refereed papers submitted by participants of the third week of a six week workshop on Statistics in the Health Sciences held by the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications in Minneapolis, Minnesota during July of 1997. This week was devoted to the closely related topics of Diagnosis and Prediction.

• Survival analysis
• control
• health
• mathematics
• public health
• screening
• statistics

• School of Statistics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA

  Seymour Geisser

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