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Nato Science Series E:

Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management

With Special References to Hydrosystems Under Changes of Physical or Climatic Environment

Editors: Duckstein, L., Parent, E. (Eds.)

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About this book

The purpose of this paper is to present a methodology for estimating space-time stochastic properties of local climatic factors reflecting global climate change. Specifically, daily precipitation amount and daily mean temperature are considered and illustrated with application to the state of Nebraska, U. S. A. Furthermore, a drought index with and without global climate change is examined. The magnitude and consequences of regional response to anticipated climatic changes are uncertain (Houghton et al. , 1990). Typical questions to be answered are: can time series of hydrological events or 10cal climatic variables such as daily temperature be conditioned in scenarios of future climate change and if so, how can this be utilized ? Can extreme historical drought events be reproduced by a stochastic hydroc1imatological model ? Can such a model be used with General Circu1ation Model (GCM) outputs to evaluate the regional/local effects of climate change scenarios? The approach presented in this paper is an extension of the usual analysis of regional hydrometeorological impacts of climate change: we propose to examine time series of GCM­ produced daily atmospheric circulation patterns (CP), thought to be relatively accurate GCM output to estimate local climatic factors. The paper is organized as follows. First, daily CPs are classified and analyzed statistically, first for historical and then for GCM produced data. Next, the height of the 500 hPa pressure field is introduced as an additional physically relevant variable influencing local climatic factors within each CP type.

Table of contents (31 chapters)

Table of contents (31 chapters)
  • Systems Engineering of Natural Resources under Changing Physical Conditions: A Framework for Reliability and Risk

    Pages 5-19

    Duckstein, Lucien (et al.)

  • Systems Engineering of Natural Resources under Changing Physical Conditions: State of the Art in Systems Modeling

    Pages 21-44

    Parent, Eric (et al.)

  • Design and Control of Water Systems under Unsteady Conditions

    Pages 45-58

    Soncini-Sessa, Rodolfo

  • Institutional Analysis and Water Resources Management

    Pages 59-75

    Waterstone, Marvin

  • Numerical Models for the Simulation of Natural and Anthropogenic Climate Variations

    Pages 81-96

    André, Jean-Claude

Buy this book

eBook $309.00
price for USA in USD (gross)
  • ISBN 978-94-015-8271-1
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $399.99
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-0-7923-3010-3
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
Softcover $399.99
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-90-481-4441-9
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management
Book Subtitle
With Special References to Hydrosystems Under Changes of Physical or Climatic Environment
Editors
  • L. Duckstein
  • E. Parent
Series Title
Nato Science Series E:
Series Volume
275
Copyright
1994
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Copyright Holder
Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
eBook ISBN
978-94-015-8271-1
DOI
10.1007/978-94-015-8271-1
Hardcover ISBN
978-0-7923-3010-3
Softcover ISBN
978-90-481-4441-9
Series ISSN
0168-132X
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XII, 474
Topics