Lecture Notes in Statistics

Applications of Computer Aided Time Series Modeling

Editors: Aoki, Masanao, Havenner, Arthur M. (Eds.)

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About this book

This book consists of three parts: Part One is composed of two introductory chapters. The first chapter provides an instrumental varible interpretation of the state space time series algorithm originally proposed by Aoki (1983), and gives an introductory account for incorporating exogenous signals in state space models. The second chapter, by Havenner, gives practical guidance in apply­ ing this algorithm by one of the most experienced practitioners of the method. Havenner begins by summarizing six reasons state space methods are advanta­ geous, and then walks the reader through construction and evaluation of a state space model for four monthly macroeconomic series: industrial production in­ dex, consumer price index, six month commercial paper rate, and money stock (Ml). To single out one of the several important insights in modeling that he shares with the reader, he discusses in Section 2ii the effects of sampling er­ rors and model misspecification on successful modeling efforts. He argues that model misspecification is an important amplifier of the effects of sampling error that may cause symplectic matrices to have complex unit roots, a theoretical impossibility. Correct model specifications increase efficiency of estimators and often eliminate this finite sample problem. This is an important insight into the positive realness of covariance matrices; positivity has been emphasized by system engineers to the exclusion of other methods of reducing sampling error and alleviating what is simply a finite sample problem. The second and third parts collect papers that describe specific applications.

Table of contents (12 chapters)

Table of contents (12 chapters)

Buy this book

eBook $109.00
price for USA in USD (gross)
  • ISBN 978-1-4612-2252-1
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Softcover $149.00
price for USA in USD
  • ISBN 978-0-387-94751-8
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Applications of Computer Aided Time Series Modeling
Editors
  • Masanao Aoki
  • Arthur M. Havenner
Series Title
Lecture Notes in Statistics
Series Volume
119
Copyright
1997
Publisher
Springer-Verlag New York
Copyright Holder
Springer-Verlag New York, Inc.
eBook ISBN
978-1-4612-2252-1
DOI
10.1007/978-1-4612-2252-1
Softcover ISBN
978-0-387-94751-8
Series ISSN
0930-0325
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
VII, 335
Number of Illustrations
220 b/w illustrations
Topics