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Sources of Uncertainty in the Tropical Pacific Warming Pattern under Global Warming Projected by Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models

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  • © 2020

Overview

  • Offers readers a comprehensive understanding of the various formation mechanisms of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern
  • Proposes two major sources of uncertainty in model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern under global warming
  • Provides an improved projection of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern by eliminating certain climatological model biases

Part of the book series: Springer Theses (Springer Theses)

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Table of contents (7 chapters)

Keywords

About this book

This book discusses the sources of uncertainty in future model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern under global warming. It mainly focuses on cloud radiation feedback and ocean dynamical effect, which reveal to be the two greatest sources of uncertainty in the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern. Moreover, the book presents a correction for model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern based on the concept of “observational constraints”; the corrected projection exhibits a more El Niño-like warming pattern.


Authors and Affiliations

  • State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics, Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Hangzhou, China

    Jun Ying

About the author


Area of work: Tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction; Climate change; El Niño–Southern Oscillation.

Honors:

The excellent doctoral dissertation of institute of atmospheric physics, Chinese academy of science in 2016;

The excellent doctoral dissertation of Chinese academy of science in 2017.

Publications:

(1) Ying Jun and Ping Huang, Cloud-radiation feedback as a leading source of uncertainty in the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 2016, 29: 3867-3881.

(2) Ying Jun, Ping Huang, and Ronghui Huang, Evaluating the formation mechanisms of the equatorial Pacific SST warming pattern in CMIP5 models. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2016, 33(4): 433-441.

(3) Ying Jun and Ping Huang, The large-scale ocean dynamical effect on uncertainty in the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 2016, 29: 8051-8065.

(4) Ying Jun, Ping Huang, Tao Lian and Hongjian Tan, Understanding the effect of an excessive cold tongue bias on projecting the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern in CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 2019, 52,1805-1818.

(5) Ying, Jun., P. Huang, T. Lian, and D. Chen, Intermodel Uncertainty in the Change of ENSO’s Amplitude under Global Warming: Role of the Response of Atmospheric Circulation to SST Anomalies. Journal of Climate, 2019, 32, 369-383.

(6) Huang Ping and Jun Ying, A multimodel ensemble pattern regression method to correct the tropical Pacific SST change patterns under global warming. Journal of Climate, 2016, 28: 4706-4723.

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: Sources of Uncertainty in the Tropical Pacific Warming Pattern under Global Warming Projected by Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models

  • Authors: Jun Ying

  • Series Title: Springer Theses

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-32-9844-6

  • Publisher: Springer Singapore

  • eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental Science, Earth and Environmental Science (R0)

  • Copyright Information: Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2020

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-981-32-9843-9Published: 19 September 2019

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-981-32-9846-0Published: 19 September 2020

  • eBook ISBN: 978-981-32-9844-6Published: 06 September 2019

  • Series ISSN: 2190-5053

  • Series E-ISSN: 2190-5061

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XII, 81

  • Topics: Climate Change, Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts, Oceanography

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