Population Change and Impacts in Asia and the Pacific

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xiii

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2. Population Change in the Asia-Pacific Region: Trends, Issues and Models

   • Jacques Poot, Matthew Roskruge

   Pages 1-26

3. Population Distribution

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 27-27

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   2. Pareto’s Law and City Size in China: Diverging Patterns in Land and People

      • John Gibson, Chao Li

      Pages 29-47

   3. City Size Distribution in Colombia and Its Regions, 1835–2005

      • Gerson Javier Pérez-Valbuena, Adolfo Meisel-Roca

      Pages 49-75

   4. Exploring Economic Futures for Japan Under Rapid Depopulation: A Dynamic Regional CGE Model Approach

      • Suminori Tokunaga, Mitsuru Okiyama

      Pages 77-105

   5. Using Spatial Microsimulation to Derive a Base File for a Spatial Decision Support System

      • Robert Tanton, Yogi Vidyattama

      Pages 107-120

4. Migration and Development

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 121-121

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   2. The Drivers of Long-Distance Commuting in Chile: The Role of the Spatial Distribution of Economic Activities

      • Francisco Rowe, Martin Bell

      Pages 123-149

   3. Can Regionally-Targeted Temporary Visas Be an Effective Policy Instrument? A General Equilibrium Analysis

      • Nhi H. Tran, Elizabeth L. Roos, James A. Giesecke, John R. Madden

      Pages 151-181

   4. Modeling the Dynamics of Circular Migration

      • Natasha T. Duncan, Jacques Poot, Brigitte Waldorf

      Pages 183-200

   5. The Changing Composition and Fortunes of Overseas Graduates in Australia: The Case of Chinese and Indian Graduates

      • Angelina Zhi Rou Tang, Francisco Rowe, Jonathan Corcoran, Alessandra Faggian

      Pages 201-220

   6. Effective Work Experience and Labour Market Impacts of New Zealand Immigration

      • Sholeh A. Maani, Michael M. H. Tse

      Pages 221-246

   7. Migration and Regional Development in Timor-Leste

      • Tomaz Ponce Dentinho, Pedro Damião, Maria da Conceição Rego

      Pages 247-266

5. Population Age Composition and Impacts

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 267-267

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   2. China’s Ageing Population: The Present Situation and Prospects

      • Guoping Mao, Fuzhong Lu, Xuchun Fan, Debiao Wu

      Pages 269-287

   3. Population Aging in India: Facts, Issues, and Options

      • Arunika Agarwal, Alyssa Lubet, Elizabeth Mitgang, Sanjay Mohanty, David E. Bloom

      Pages 289-311

   4. The Child Deficit and the Changing Value of Children in Asia

      • Philip S. Morrison

      Pages 313-339

   5. Situational Stressors Among Caregivers of Older Persons in Thailand

      • Amara Soonthorndhada, Denis Akankunda Bwesigye, Jeerawan Hongthong, Wannee Hutaphat

      Pages 341-358

This volume brings together a range of contributions that provide contemporary regional science perspectives on population change and its socio-economic consequences in the Asia-Pacific region. This region accounts for close to two-thirds of the world’s population and is highly diverse in terms of key demographic indicators such as population size, growth, composition and distribution. The authors provide quantitative assessments, either descriptively or by means of modelling, of important demographic issues affecting this part of the world.


The topics addressed include: broad demographic trends across the Asia-Pacific region and its sub-regions; assessment of population decline, urbanization and spatial distribution using cases from China, Colombia, Japan and Australia; migration and economic impacts in Australasia, Chile and Timor Leste; and the impacts of declining or low fertility and population ageing in China, India, Thailand, and across Asia.


Given its scope, the book will appeal to all readers seeking to understand population change and impacts across the Asia-Pacific region, with a specific focus on sub-regional differences and dynamics.

• population studies
• regional science
• demography
• migration
• regional development
• population growth
• population change
• population ageing
• population economics
• population size
• immigration
• demographic transition
• human geography
• economic development
• diaspora
• human capital
• migration policy
• trans-Tasman migration
• regional integration
• Asia-Pacific

• Department of Spatial Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA), University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand

  Jacques Poot

• School of Economics and Finance, Massey University, Auckland, New Zealand

  Matthew Roskruge

Jacques Poot is the Emeritus Professor of Population Economics at the National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA), University of Waikato, New Zealand; and a Visiting Professor at the Department of Spatial Economics at the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, the Netherlands. His research interests include all aspects of the economics of population (such as migration, fertility, labour force, and ageing). Over the last two decades he has led several large-scale multi-institution research programmes in New Zealand and Europe on population diversity, migration impact assessment, immigrant integration, and regional population change and its socio-economic consequences.



Matthew Roskruge (Te Ātiawa, Ngāti Tama) is a senior lecturer in economics at Massey University and co-director of Te Au Rangahau Māori business research centre. Dr Roskruge specialises in applied econometrics, mixed-methods and kaupapa Māori research with a passion for social capital, population economics, public economics and the Māori economy. His research is supported by a Rutherford Discovery Fellowship alongside grants from the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment, Health Research Council and Ngā Pae o te Māramatanga, with whom he is collaborating to invigorate Māori economics and inspire new Māori economists.

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