The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results

A Practical Guide

Authors: Hofer, Eduard

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  • Provides a step-by-step practical guide to the uncertainty analysis of computer models
    Discusses the advantages and disadvantages of the suggested methods
    Points out the benefits of an uncertainty analysis for model robustness and the reliability of the results
    Explains the difference between aleatory and epistemic uncertainty
    Includes practical examples

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eBook 67,40 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-3-319-76297-5
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
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  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover 88,39 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-3-319-76296-8
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
Softcover 83,19 €
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  • ISBN 978-3-030-09456-0
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
About this book

This book is a practical guide to the uncertainty analysis of computer model applications. Used in many areas, such as engineering, ecology and economics, computer models are subject to various uncertainties at the level of model formulations, parameter values and input data. Naturally, it would be advantageous to know the combined effect of these uncertainties on the model results as well as whether the state of knowledge should be improved in order to reduce the uncertainty of the results most effectively. The book supports decision-makers, model developers and users in their argumentation for an uncertainty analysis and assists them in the interpretation of the analysis results.

About the authors

Eduard Hofer holds a Master of Science diploma with distinction in mathematics from the Technical University of Munich (TUM), Germany. He developed a method for the numerical solution of initial value problems with large systems of stiff first-order ordinary differential equations. He also designed a non-commercial, PC-based software system for uncertainty analysis of results from computer models and conducted the uncertainty analysis of numerous applications of computationally demanding computer models. Hofer served on the external peer-review committee of a major US dose reconstruction study with the subtask in uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, and contributed to numerous international conferences. Furthermore, he received an award for his contributions in the field of probabilistic risk assessment.

Table of contents (10 chapters)

Table of contents (10 chapters)

Buy this book

eBook 67,40 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-3-319-76297-5
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF, EPUB
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover 88,39 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-3-319-76296-8
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
Softcover 83,19 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-3-030-09456-0
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results
Book Subtitle
A Practical Guide
Authors
Copyright
2018
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Copyright Holder
Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature
eBook ISBN
978-3-319-76297-5
DOI
10.1007/978-3-319-76297-5
Hardcover ISBN
978-3-319-76296-8
Softcover ISBN
978-3-030-09456-0
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XV, 346
Number of Illustrations
22 b/w illustrations, 107 illustrations in colour
Topics