Neurocognitive Risk Assessment for the Early Detection of Violent Extremists

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xvii

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2. Risk Assessment: Research on Violence

   • Geoff Dean

   Pages 1-9

3. Background to Research Project: Violent Extremism

   • Geoff Dean

   Pages 11-28

4. Current Research: Neurocognitive Risk Assessment

   • Geoff Dean

   Pages 29-59

5. Research Project: Expert Elicitation Study

   • Geoff Dean

   Pages 61-94

6. Discussion

   • Geoff Dean

   Pages 95-100

7. Conclusion

   • Geoff Dean

   Pages 101-102

8. Back Matter

   Pages 103-112

   PDF

This Brief provides a theoretical and conceptual development of a new Risk Assessment Toolbox (RAT) for the early detection of violent extremists. It is based on a neurocognitive perspective, conceptualized as ‘neuroplasticity-in-action’ arising from brain-based neural patterns expressed in mind-based cognitive pathways likely to form a mind-set of violent extremism. This neurocognitive-based Risk Assessment Toolbox (RAT) is comprised of two distinct components: a cognitive indicators instrument that serves as an early detection checklist for trained practitioners, and a software visualisation program.

The Brief includes: A framework of contemporary approaches to the risk assessment of violence as well as the background context for the current research project on ‘violent extremism’ and its related concepts of ‘terrorism’ and ‘radicalisation,’ out of which the RAT was developed. A detailed overview of RAT and a pilot case study experiment to highlight the practical value and utility of this neurocognitive Risk Assessment Toolbox. Preliminary research findings of a study conducted with a sample of recognized experts (academics and practitioners) in several countries around the world, to fine tune and validate the risk parameters of the two components that constitute RAT (Risk Assessment Toolbox). The current stage of development of RAT as a practitioner-based system for the early detection of potentially violent extremists as well as its strategic intelligence implications for using a neurocognitive risk assessment approach to violent extremism is discussed. Research limitations and plans for future research studies.

This work will be of interest to researchers in Criminology and Criminal Justice interested in studying violent extremism, terrorism and crime prevention and intervention and policing, as well as researchers in related fields of Forensic Psychology, Cognitive Neuroscience and Social Work or SocialIntervention.

• Knowledge-Based Policing
• Lone-Wolf Terrorism
• Risk Assessment
• Terrorism
• Terrorism Profiling
• Violent Extremism

• Faculty of Law School of Justice, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia

  Geoff Dean

Professor Dean is responsible for the domain of Policing, Intelligence & Security within the School of Justice in the Faculty of Law at the Queensland University of Technology in Brisbane, Australia. His areas of professional expertise, teaching specialisation and research excellence are in Knowledge-Managed Policing (KMP) including police management and policing technologies; Global Organised Crime (GOC), including criminal entrepreneurialism; Violent Extremism (VE) including terrorism, social media and cyber terrorism; Criminal & Terrorism Profiling (CTP) and Investigative Psychology (IP), particularly in relation to investigator’s thinking styles. His professional networks include memberships in the Society for Police and Criminal Psychology (SPCP) in America; an honorary member of the Italian Association for Investigative Psychology (AIPI) in Rome; a visiting scholar with the Centre for Teaching and Research in Behavioural Analysis (CERPAC) in France; registered as an international expert with EUROPOL at the Knowledge Management Centre, The Hague in the Netherlands; as well as consulting widely with various Police Services, Institutes and Universities in Asia [Singapore, China], Europe [England, France, Norway, Germany, Italy], North America [Canada and the US]. Professor Dean’s consultancy work covers a wide variety of both public sector and industry groups.

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