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Interpreting Historical Sequences Using Economic Models

War, Secession and Tranquility

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  • © 2020

Overview

Authors:
  1. Paul Hallwood

    1. Department of Economics, University of Connecticut, Storrs, USA

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  • Presents a theoretical model that explains common historical sequences, such as the growth and decline of empires, wars of secession and achievement of tranquility between nations

  • Refers to many historical cases

  • Incorporates elements from rational choice frameworks and game theory

  • Includes three extended case studies on peacekeeping, the American Civil War and Scottish independence

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Table of contents (9 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xiii
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  2. Introduction

    • Paul Hallwood
    Pages 1-14

  3. The Economic Model

    • Paul Hallwood
    Pages 15-25

  4. Intrastate Sequencing with Historical Examples

    • Paul Hallwood
    Pages 27-38

  5. Drivers of Historical Sequences

    • Paul Hallwood
    Pages 39-53

  6. International Sequencing with Historical Examples

    • Paul Hallwood
    Pages 55-63

  7. Peacekeeping and Sequencing

    • Paul Hallwood
    Pages 65-79

  8. Case Study: Secessionists Motives in the American Civil War

    • Paul Hallwood
    Pages 81-99

  9. Minimizing the Cost of Union: Fiscal Autonomy and the Case of Scotland

    • Paul Hallwood
    Pages 101-115

  10. Conclusions

    • Paul Hallwood
    Pages 117-120

  11. Back Matter

    Pages 121-126
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Keywords

About this book

This Palgrave Pivot presents theoretical models that explain common historical sequences, such as wars of secession, the rise and fall of empires, and international war. The book uses a rational choice model to frame the incentives of specific groups coming together in a polity or leaving it. These incentives are then set in a theoretical framework to determine the outcome—unity or secession, peace or war—and are demonstrated through historical examples. The book provides two longer case studies looking directly at motives for and against secession: the first on the American Civil War from the point of view of the Confederacy, and the second on efforts by the UK government to stem the tide of Scottish independence. Another case study discusses peacekeeping as aimed at reducing the costs of secessionist wars. With its accessible use of economic theory and ability to bring to life real-world examples of conflict and secession, this book is ideal supplementary reading for courses in international relations, conflict studies, global economics and economic history.

Authors and Affiliations

  • Department of Economics, University of Connecticut, Storrs, USA

    Paul Hallwood

About the author

Paul Hallwood is Professor of Economics at the University of Connecticut, USA. He has co-authored two books and several papers on Scottish independence.

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