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Socio-Historical Studies of the Social and Human Sciences
cover

Experts, Social Scientists, and Techniques of Prognosis in Cold War America

Authors: Daye, Christian

  • Counters the emphasis on theory in the historiography of the social sciences and seeks to establish new interest in the history of empirical social researchSuggests that epistemic hopes describe a social mechanism wherein the wish to do something good causes something bad: the adoption and maintenance of a non-optimal techniqueSteps back from policy analysis to focus on how expert knowledge is actually  produced,  offering a unique assessment of tacit assumptions and methodological inconsistencies

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eBook 71,39 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • The eBook version of this title will be available soon
  • Due: February 9, 2020
  • ISBN 978-3-030-32781-1
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format:
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
Hardcover 88,39 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • Due: February 9, 2020
  • ISBN 978-3-030-32780-4
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
About this book

This book describes how Cold War researchers used expert opinions to construct foreknowledge of geopolitical relevance. Focusing on the RAND Corporation, an American think tank with close relations to the armed forces, Dayé analyses the development of two techniques of prognosis, the Delphi technique and Political Gaming. 

Based on archival research and interviews, the chapters explore the history of this series of experiments to understand how contemporary social scientists conceived of one of the core categories of the Cold War, the expert, and uncover the systematic use of expert opinions to craft prognoses.

This consideration of the expert’s role in Cold War society and what that can tell us about the role of the expert today will be of interest to students and scholars across the history of science, the sociology of knowledge, future studies, the history of the Cold War, social science methodology, and social policy. 


About the authors

Christian Dayé is Research Fellow at the Science, Technology and Society (STS) Unit of Graz University of Technology, Austria.

Buy this book

eBook 71,39 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • The eBook version of this title will be available soon
  • Due: February 9, 2020
  • ISBN 978-3-030-32781-1
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format:
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
Hardcover 88,39 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • Due: February 9, 2020
  • ISBN 978-3-030-32780-4
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Experts, Social Scientists, and Techniques of Prognosis in Cold War America
Authors
Series Title
Socio-Historical Studies of the Social and Human Sciences
Copyright
2020
Publisher
Palgrave Macmillan
Copyright Holder
The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
eBook ISBN
978-3-030-32781-1
DOI
10.1007/978-3-030-32781-1
Hardcover ISBN
978-3-030-32780-4
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XVI, 244
Number of Illustrations
12 b/w illustrations
Topics