Access this title on SpringerLink – Click here!

Demographic Research Monographs
Open Access This content is freely available online to anyone, anywhere at any time.

Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting

Editors: Bengtsson, Tommy, Keilman, Nico (Eds.)

Free Preview
  • This open access edited collection describes state-of-the-art methods of mortality forecasting
  • Includes statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives
  • Provides an interdisciplinary approach to the topic
see more benefits

Buy this book

eBook  
  • ISBN 978-3-030-05075-7
  • This book is an open access book, you can download it for free on link.springer.com
Hardcover 51,99 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-3-030-05074-0
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
About this book

This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements.  It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives.  The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.

About the authors

Tommy Bengtsson is Professor of Demography and Economic History, Lund University. He received his doctoral degree from Lund University in 1980 on a dissertation on 20th century technological change and labor market issues. Afterwards, he started to work in the area of population economics, especially on demographic response to short-term changes in real wages using historical records at macro level for Sweden. Next, he combined an event history approach with a time-series approach to analyze the effects of changes in real wages on demographic outcomes at micro level. Later, he used a similar approach studying the effects of conditions in early life on health and socioeconomic performance later in life. To be able to do so, he build up the Scanian Economic Demographic Database (SEDD), which is closing the gap between the historical and contemporary datasets and today, the Centre for Economic Demography (CED), which he started in 2006, is administrating the database. Bengtsson has also been involved in studies on population ageing and welfare state as well as on the current immigration to Sweden.

 

Nico Keilman is Professor of Demography at the Department of Economics, University of Oslo, since 1994. He studied applied mathematics and demography at the universities of Delft and Utrecht, and received his doctoral degree at the latter university in 1990, for a dissertation on the accuracy of population forecasts. He has more than 30 years of experience in mathematical and statistical research on demographic models for the dynamics of living arrangements, mortality projections, and demographic methods in general. From 2006 until 2011, he was the editor of Demographic Research. 

Video

Table of contents (24 chapters)

Table of contents (24 chapters)
  • Introduction

    Bengtsson, Tommy (et al.)

    Pages 1-19

  • Life Expectancy Is Taking Center Place in Modern National Pension Schemes – A New Challenge for the Art of Projecting Mortality

    Palmer, Edward

    Pages 23-32

  • Experiences from Forecasting Mortality in Finland

    Alho, Juha M.

    Pages 33-41

  • Mortality Projections in Norway

    Brunborg, Helge

    Pages 43-57

  • Mortality Assumptions for Sweden. The 2000–2050 Population Projection

    Lundström, Hans

    Pages 59-71

Buy this book

eBook  
  • ISBN 978-3-030-05075-7
  • This book is an open access book, you can download it for free on link.springer.com
Hardcover 51,99 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-3-030-05074-0
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
Loading...

Recommended for you

Loading...

Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting
Editors
  • Tommy Bengtsson
  • Nico Keilman
Series Title
Demographic Research Monographs
Copyright
2019
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Copyright Holder
The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s)
eBook ISBN
978-3-030-05075-7
DOI
10.1007/978-3-030-05075-7
Hardcover ISBN
978-3-030-05074-0
Series ISSN
1613-5520
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XI, 349
Number of Illustrations
81 b/w illustrations, 29 illustrations in colour
Topics