Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems
Decisions under Uncertainties and Risks
Herausgeber: Ermoliev, Yuri, Makowski, Marek, Marti, Kurt (Eds.)
Vorschau- State-of-the-art analysis and optimization methods for effective coping with uncertainty and risks
- Advanced tools and techniques for dealing with uncertainty and risk in several applied areas, such as engineering, operations research, economics, environmental policy-making
- Proper treatment of stochastic and non-stochastic uncertainty for robust optimal decisions under uncertainty and risk
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- Über dieses Buch
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Managing safety of diverse systems requires decision-making under uncertainties and risks. Such systems are typically characterized by spatio-temporal heterogeneities, inter-dependencies, externalities, endogenous risks, discontinuities, irreversibility, practically irreducible uncertainties, and rare events with catastrophic consequences. Traditional scientific approaches rely on data from real observations and experiments; yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and experiments are usually impossible. Therefore, science-based support for addressing such new class of problems needs to replace the traditional “deterministic predictions” analysis by new methods and tools for designing decisions that are robust against the involved uncertainties and risks. The new methods treat uncertainties explicitly by using “synthetic” information derived by integration of “hard” elements, including available data, results of possible experiments, and formal representations of scientific facts, with “soft” elements based on diverse representations of scenarios and opinions of public, stakeholders, and experts. The volume presents such effective new methods, and illustrates their applications in different problem areas, including engineering, economy, finance, agriculture, environment, and policy making.
- Über die Autor*innen
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Ermoliev, Y.: Professor, Institute Scholar, and Senior Researcher, Integrated Modeling Environment (IME) Project, International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. Research: modeling of decision-making processes under risks and uncertainties, stochastic and dynamic system optimization.
Makowski, M.: Dr., Leader, Integrated Modeling Environment (IME) Project, International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. Research: model-based decision-making support, structured modeling, integrated model analysis, multiple-criteria problem analysis.
Marti, K.: o.Univ.Professor for Engineering Mathematics, Federal Armed Forces University Munich, Aerospace Engineering and Technology, Neubiberg/Munich, Germany. Research: Stochastic Optimization Methods in Engineering
- Inhaltsverzeichnis (18 Kapitel)
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Robust Management of Heterogeneous Systems under Uncertainties
Seiten 1-16
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Systemic Risk and Security Management
Seiten 19-49
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Robust Decisions under Risk for Imprecise Probabilities
Seiten 51-66
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Combining Second-Order Belief Distributions with Qualitative Statements in Decision Analysis
Seiten 67-87
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An Econometric Model Based on the Maxmin Expected Utility Model: An Application to Earthquake Insurance
Seiten 89-106
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Inhaltsverzeichnis (18 Kapitel)
- Download Vorwort 1 PDF (95.1 KB)
- Download Probeseiten 1 PDF (370.3 KB)
- Download Inhaltsverzeichnis PDF (73.6 KB)
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Bibliografische Information
- Bibliographic Information
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- Buchtitel
- Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems
- Buchuntertitel
- Decisions under Uncertainties and Risks
- Herausgeber
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- Yuri Ermoliev
- Marek Makowski
- Kurt Marti
- Titel der Buchreihe
- Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
- Buchreihen Band
- 658
- Copyright
- 2012
- Verlag
- Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
- Copyright Inhaber
- Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
- eBook ISBN
- 978-3-642-22884-1
- DOI
- 10.1007/978-3-642-22884-1
- Softcover ISBN
- 978-3-642-22883-4
- Buchreihen ISSN
- 0075-8442
- Auflage
- 1
- Seitenzahl
- XXIII, 378
- Anzahl der Bilder
- 78 schwarz-weiß Abbildungen
- Themen
