Overview
- This open access book covers forecasting models for mortality, fertility, and migration
- Provides new methods of population forecasting
- Data and codes available for selected chapters
Part of the book series: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis (PSDE, volume 49)
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Table of contents (12 chapters)
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Front Matter
Keywords
About this book
This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.
Editors and Affiliations
About the editors
Stefano Mazzuco is an Associate Professor in Demography at the Department of Statistical Sciences in the University of Padova, teaching both Demography and Statistics. He has also been a member of the PhD School in Statistics Board. He he has collaborated with the World Health Organisation (WHO) on the field of health inequality and its costs. He also has research interests in mortality pattern modelling, mainly focusing on age of death distribution modelling.
Nico Keilman is Professor of Demography at the Department of Economics, University of Oslo. He has taught Demography, Statistics, and Econometrics and has held research positions at Statistics Netherlands, the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, and Statistics Norway. He has more than forty years of research experience in the fields of population forecasting, modelling marriage and household dynamics, and mathematical demography. He was the editor of Demographic Research (2006-2011), and is member of the editorial boards of European Studies of Population, Population (Paris) and Demografie (Praha).
Bibliographic Information
Book Title: Developments in Demographic Forecasting
Editors: Stefano Mazzuco, Nico Keilman
Series Title: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-42472-5
Publisher: Springer Cham
eBook Packages: History, History (R0)
Copyright Information: The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2020
Hardcover ISBN: 978-3-030-42471-8Published: 29 September 2020
Softcover ISBN: 978-3-030-42474-9Published: 30 September 2021
eBook ISBN: 978-3-030-42472-5Published: 28 September 2020
Series ISSN: 1877-2560
Series E-ISSN: 2215-1990
Edition Number: 1
Number of Pages: VIII, 258
Number of Illustrations: 86 b/w illustrations
Topics: Demography, Statistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law