Realistic Simulation of Financial Markets

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xv

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2. U-Mart System: The First Test Bed of the Third Mode of Science

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

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   2. A Guided Tour of the Backside of Agent-Based Simulation

      • Yoshinori Shiozawa

      Pages 3-50

   3. Research on ABS and Artificial Market

      • Hajime Kita

      Pages 51-58

   4. Building Artificial Markets for Evaluating Market Institutions and Trading Strategies

      • Isao Ono, Hiroshi Sato

      Pages 59-85

   5. A Perspective on the Future of the Smallest Big Project in the World

      • Takao Terano

      Pages 87-93

3. Applications of Artificial Markets

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 95-95

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   2. Evolution of Day Trade Agent Strategy by Means of Genetic Programming with Machine Learning

      • Naoki Mori

      Pages 97-115

   3. How to Estimate Market Maker Models in an Artificial Market

      • Yoshihiro Nakajima

      Pages 117-135

   4. The Effect of Resilience in Optimal Execution with Artificial-Market Approach

      • Hiroyuki Matsui, Ryo Ohyama

      Pages 137-169

   5. Observation of Trading Process, Exchange, and Market

      • Kazuhisa Taniguchi

      Pages 171-193

4. Back Matter

   Pages 195-197

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This book takes up unique agent-based approaches to solving problems related to stock and their derivative markets. Toward this end, the authors have worked for more than 15 years on the development of an artificial market simulator called U-Mart for use as a research and educational tool. A noteworthy feature of the U-Mart simulator compared to other artificial market simulators is that U-Mart is an ultra-realistic artificial stock and their derivative market simulator. For example, it can simulate “arrowhead,” a next-generation trading system used in the Tokyo Stock Exchange and other major markets, as it takes into consideration the institutional design of the entire market. Another interesting feature of the U-Mart simulator is that it permits both human and computer programs to participate simultaneously as traders in the artificial market. In this book, first the details of U-Mart are explained, enabling readers to install and run the simulator on their computers for research andeducational purposes. The simulator thus can be used for gaming simulation of the artificial market and even for users as agents to implement their own trading strategies for agent-based simulation (ABS).The book also presents selected research cases using the U-Mart simulator. Here, topics include automated acquisition of trading strategy using artificial intelligence techniques, evaluation of a market maker system to treat thin markets such as those for small and regional businesses, systemic risk analysis of the financial market considering institutional design of the market, and analysis of how humans behave and learn in gaming simulation. New perspectives on artificial market research are provided, and the power, potential, and challenge of ABS are discussed. As explained in this important work, ABS is considered to be an effective tool as the third approach of social science, an alternative to traditional literary and mathematical approaches.

• Agent-Based Simulation
• Artificial Market
• Gaming Simulation
• Systemic Risk
• U-Mart

• Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, Kyoto University Institute, Kyoto, Japan

  Hajime Kita

• Faculty of Economics, Kindai University, Osaka, Japan

  Kazuhisa Taniguchi

• Graduate School of Economics, Osaka City University, Osaka, Japan

  Yoshihiro Nakajima

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