Overview
- Nominated by the Georgia Univesity of Technology for a Springer Theses Prize
- This work investigates how tropical cyclone intensity will change over the next 50 years - a question of high interest to industrial and governmental communities
- New approach to asses weather extremes in climate models and current observations
- Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras
Part of the book series: Springer Theses (Springer Theses)
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Table of contents (6 chapters)
Keywords
About this book
tracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach to
enable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models.
The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropical
cyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice of
selection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time were
relatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to future
assessments of climate impacts on hurricanes.
The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches to
statistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regional
climate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes.
Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method of
determining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are most
vulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptation
strategies.
Authors and Affiliations
Bibliographic Information
Book Title: Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones
Authors: Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Series Title: Springer Theses
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-25029-3
Publisher: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental Science, Earth and Environmental Science (R0)
Copyright Information: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2012
Hardcover ISBN: 978-3-642-25028-6Published: 05 January 2012
Softcover ISBN: 978-3-662-50872-5Published: 23 August 2016
eBook ISBN: 978-3-642-25029-3Published: 05 January 2012
Series ISSN: 2190-5053
Series E-ISSN: 2190-5061
Edition Number: 1
Number of Pages: XIII, 78
Topics: Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology, Simulation and Modeling