The Roads to Congress 2016

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xxii

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2. Setting the Context

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

      PDF

   2. Sorting Out the 2016 U.S. Elections

      • Sean D. Foreman

      Pages 3-11

   3. Voting Behavior in the 114th Congress

      • Patrick Hickey

      Pages 13-25

   4. Voter Suppression Policies in the 2016 Campaign Cycle

      • Daniel E. Smith

      Pages 27-42

   5. What to Tweet when the Top Is Toxic? Gauging References to the 2016 Presidential Candidates in House Members’ Social Media Posts

      • Bryan T. Gervais

      Pages 43-56

   6. Broken, Cracked, and Missed Ceilings: Female and Minority Candidates in the Congressional Races of 2016

      • Kimberly L. Casey, Jessica Loyet Gracey

      Pages 57-73

3. U.S. House of Representatives

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 75-75

      PDF

   2. California 49th Congressional District: A Near Upset in the Golden State

      • Laura J. Brantley, Marcia L. Godwin

      Pages 77-91

   3. Colorado Sixth Congressional District: Moderate Policy Positions and Distance from Trump Help a Republican Incumbent Fight off Another Strong Democratic Challenge

      • Josalyn Williams, Katherine Runge, Anand Edward Sokhey, Josh M. Ryan

      Pages 93-107

   4. Florida Congressional Districts: The Names Change but Party Domination Stays the Same

      • Sean D. Foreman

      Pages 109-122

   5. Illinois 10th Congressional District: Re-rematch in Chicago Suburbs

      • Jeffrey Ashley, Miles Williams

      Pages 123-137

   6. Iowa First Congressional District: Anomaly or New Normal?

      • Donna R. Hoffman, Christopher W. Larimer

      Pages 139-153

   7. New York’s 19th, 22nd, and 24th Congressional Districts: Republicans Hold On in One of the Bluest of States

      • Jeffrey Kraus

      Pages 155-177

   8. Texas District 23: Play It Again: A Nationalized Election in Texas’s Swingin’est District

      • Walter Clark Wilson

      Pages 179-193

   9. Wisconsin Eighth Congressional District: From Swing Seat to Solidly Republican?

      • Aaron Weinschenk

      Pages 195-204

4. U.S. Senate

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 205-205

      PDF

   2. Arizona Senate Race: McCain Holds on for a Sixth Term

      • Tom Lansford

      Pages 207-220

   3. California Senate Race: The Anointing of Kamala Harris

      • Marcia L. Godwin

      Pages 221-235

   4. Colorado Senate Race: Republicans Expect to Capture Second Straight Senate Seat, but Fall Short

      • Kyle D. McEvilly, William K. Hall

      Pages 237-249

This book analyzes both local and national House and Senate campaigns in the 2016 election to reveal how distinctive campaign dynamics have a collective national impact. Featuring detailed case studies of ten competitive House races and twelve high-profile U.S. Senate campaigns, the volume provides a deep analysis of campaign dynamics and the polarizing effects of the presidential campaigns of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. These studies are contextualized by four thematic chapters that cover the most salient talking points of the 2016 elections, including voter registration laws and congressional candidates' use of Twitter. As penetrating as it is comprehensive, this volume provides readers with a fuller understanding of the divided landscape of contemporary American political campaigns. 

• Congress 2016
• American congressional elections
• American Senate
• American House
• 114th Congress
• Twitter and politics
• Trump Twitter
• voter registration laws
• voter suppression
• female congressional candidates
• minority congressional candidates
• California 49th
• Colorado 6th
• Illinois 10th
• Iowa 1st
• New York 19th
• New York 22nd
• New York 24th
• Texas 23rd

• Political Science, Barry University, Miami, USA

  Sean D. Foreman

• Public Administration, University of La Verne, La Verne, USA

  Marcia L. Godwin

Sean D. Foreman is Professor of Political Science at Barry University, USA. He is the co-author of four books, including The Roads to Congress 2014 (2015), with Robert Dewhirst, about the midterm elections. He was president of the Florida Political Science Association in 2012 and serves as secretary of FPSA for the 2015-17 term. He co-chairs the Campus Democracy Project at Barry University. He frequently comments on national politics and elections for numerous outlets.


Marcia L. Godwin is Professor and Director of the Master of Public Administration Program at the University of La Verne, USA. She has extensive experience in local government administration. Her research has been published in the Journal of Public Affairs Education, Policy Studies Journal, State and Local Government Review, Teaching Public Administration, and other publications. She is co-editor, with Sean D. Foreman, of Local Politics and Mayoral Elections in 21st Century America: The Keys to City Hall (2015).

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