A Study of the Turning Point of China’s Debt

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xi

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2. Debt and Economic Growth

   • Xiaohuang Zhu, Song Lin, Lin Wang, Wenqi Wu, Quanli Qin

   Pages 1-13

3. A Study of China’s Total Debt

   • Xiaohuang Zhu, Song Lin, Lin Wang, Wenqi Wu, Quanli Qin

   Pages 15-41

4. A Study of China’s Government Debt

   • Xiaohuang Zhu, Song Lin, Lin Wang, Wenqi Wu, Quanli Qin

   Pages 43-63

5. A Study of China’s Bank Debt

   • Xiaohuang Zhu, Song Lin, Lin Wang, Wenqi Wu, Quanli Qin

   Pages 65-89

6. A Study of China’s Corporate Debt

   • Xiaohuang Zhu, Song Lin, Lin Wang, Wenqi Wu, Quanli Qin

   Pages 91-121

7. A Study of the Debt of Real Estate-Related Industries

   • Xiaohuang Zhu, Song Lin, Lin Wang, Wenqi Wu, Quanli Qin

   Pages 123-163

8. A Study of the Real Economy and the Virtual Economy

   • Xiaohuang Zhu, Song Lin, Lin Wang, Wenqi Wu, Quanli Qin

   Pages 165-184

9. Summary

   • Xiaohuang Zhu, Song Lin, Lin Wang, Wenqi Wu, Quanli Qin

   Pages 185-191

10. Back Matter

    Pages 193-196

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This book proposes a method for calculating China’s debt based on a quantitative econometric analysis. This is conducted by measuring the relationship between China’s debt size and economic growth.  The conclusion that is reached is as follows: China’s current debt has already exceeded the inflection point, and that means that it is now having an adverse effect on its economic performance.


The book also focuses on China's debt problems as a whole, highlighting debt issues faced by different entities and industries, as well as the ratio and structure of the virtual and real economies. The contents are presented in three major principles: theory, oriented,data, and  oriented policy. 

• China’s debt
• debt turning debt
• government debt
• bank debt
• virtual and real economy

• CITIC Group, Beijing, China

  Xiaohuang Zhu

• Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China

  Song Lin

• Risk Management Division, China Construction Bank, Beijing, China

  Lin Wang

• China Asset Management Company, Beijing, China

  Wenqi Wu

• RenMin University of China, Beijing, China

  Quanli Qin

Professor Zhu Xiaohuang was born on July 2, 1956 in Cili County, Hunan Province. He obtained his doctorate in International Economy from Lingnan College of Sun Yat-sen University in 2006.


Zhu previously worked in China Construction Bank as the executive director and then as deputy president /chief risk officer. In August 2012, he was appointed as the deputy general manager of CITIC Ltd. and president of CITIC Bank. In May 2014, Zhu became chairman of the supervisory board of the CITIC Group Corporation. He is a part-time professor at Renmin University of China, Wuhan University, Shenzhen University and Hunan University. As a senior economist, Zhu is entitled to the State Council Special Allowance. He also serves as the vice chairman of China Behavior Law Association and chairman of its Branching Financial and Legal Behavior Research Society. Professor Zhu has published a variety of monographs and collections of works including The New Study of Economic Law, Random Collections of Past Days, Lingnan Notes, Risk Management of Commercial Banks, Be Away from Iceberg, Weaving Net While Standing at Riverside, Value Banks and Faith in Wealth. 

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