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AIDS up to the Year 2000

Epidemiological, Sociocultural and Economic Scenario Analysis, Scenario Report Commissioned by the Steering Committee on Future Health Scenarios

  • Book
  • © 1992

Overview

Authors:
  1. F. M. L. G. Boom

    1. Netherlands Institute of Mental Health (NcGv), Netherlands

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  2. J. C. Jager

    1. National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection(RIVM), Netherlands

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  3. D. P. Reinking

    1. Netherlands Institute of Mental Health (NcGv), Netherlands

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  4. M. J. Postma

    1. National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection(RIVM), Netherlands

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  5. C. E. S. Albers

    1. Netherlands Institute of Mental Health (NcGv), Netherlands

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Part of the book series: Future Health Scenarios (FUHS)

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Table of contents (10 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages N1-xxvi
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  2. Scenarioproject AIDS

    1. Front Matter

      Pages xxvii-xxvii
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    2. Scenario project “The sociocultural and economic impact of AIDS: design and working plan”

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 1-20

    3. Scenario construction

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 21-46

  3. Baseline Analyses

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 47-47
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    2. Baseline analysis HIV / AIDS in the Netherlands: 1982-1991

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 47-92

    3. Baseline analysis of sociocultural aspects of AIDS: 1982-1991

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 93-137

    4. Baseline analysis of the economic impact of HIV / AIDS 1982–1991

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 139-167

  4. Scenario analyses

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 169-169
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    2. Reference scenario: Impact of AIDS in 1995 and 2000

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 169-195

    3. Risk behaviour and the spread of HIV

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 197-242

    4. Health care and medical technology

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 243-279

    5. The response to AIDS: strategies for AIDS control and care

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 281-300

    6. Concluding remarks

      • F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers
      Pages 301-309

  5. Back Matter

    Pages 311-314
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Keywords

About this book

In March 1983 the Secretary of State for Welfare, Health and Cultural Affairs appointed the Steering Committee on Future Health Scenarios (STG). The task of the STG is to advise the Minister on the future of public health and health care in the long term in the Netherlands with a view to increasing the anticipatory capacity of government policy. Since 1983 the STG has set up a number of committees, including the Scenario Committee on AIDS, with a view to mapping out possible scenarios in their particular field of interest. The committees report in the form of scenario reports, which are of relevance not just to the national government but also to others involved in policy development and opinion formation in the field in question.
What proportions will the HIV/AIDS epidemic assume and how many new HIV infections can be averted by HIV/AIDS prevention campaigns? How much care and support will people with HIV and AIDS need and what successes can be expected within the care sector? What will be the social consequences of AIDS and how can ostracism and the social isolation of people with HIV and AIDS be avoided?
These and other related questions form the subject of this book, which examines the sociocultural and economic impact of AIDS in the Netherlands up to the year 2000. The book presents a study carried out by the Netherlands Institute of Mental Health (NcGv) and the National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection (RIVM), under the direction of the STG Scenario Committee on AIDS.
The researchers look back at the epidemiological, sociocultural and economic impact of AIDS in the Netherlands during the first decade of the epidemic and, on the basis of this, use scenario analysis to project the impact of AIDS up to the year 2000.
The future projections relate both to the impact of AIDS and the maximization of efforts to combat the disease. In addition to a scenario exploring the impact of AIDS if developments continue unchanged, alternative scenarios are also put forward. These focus on the impact of significant changes in such diverse fields as sexual behaviour, injecting drug use, the effectiveness and organization of HIV/AIDS prevention programmes, and the demand for delivery of care.
The book concludes that the impact of AIDS will only become fully apparent in the second decade of the epidemic. The authors consider the implications of this conclusion for HIV/AIDS prevention programmes, research, care and the efforts to counter the socially undesirable impacts of AIDS.

Authors and Affiliations

  • Netherlands Institute of Mental Health (NcGv), Netherlands

    F. M. L. G. Boom, D. P. Reinking, C. E. S. Albers

  • National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection(RIVM), Netherlands

    J. C. Jager, M. J. Postma

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: AIDS up to the Year 2000

  • Book Subtitle: Epidemiological, Sociocultural and Economic Scenario Analysis, Scenario Report Commissioned by the Steering Committee on Future Health Scenarios

  • Authors: F. M. L. G. Boom, J. C. Jager, D. P. Reinking, M. J. Postma, C. E. S. Albers

  • Series Title: Future Health Scenarios

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-2848-3

  • Publisher: Springer Dordrecht

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

  • Copyright Information: STG, Rijswijk 1992

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-0-7923-1895-8Published: 30 June 1992

  • eBook ISBN: 978-94-011-2848-3Published: 06 December 2012

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XXVII, 314

  • Topics: Public Health, Immunology, Infectious Diseases, Epidemiology

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