Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs

Proceedings of the Fifth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making, Darmstadt, 1–4 September, 1975

  • Conference proceedings
  • © 1977

Overview

Editors:
  1. Helmut Jungermann

    1. Technische Hochschule Darmstadt, Deutschland

    View editor publications

    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

  2. Gerard Zeeuw

    1. Universiteit van Amsterdam, Holland

    View editor publications

    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

Part of the book series: Theory and Decision Library (TDLU, volume 16)

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this book

Log in via an institution
eBook USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access

Licence this eBook for your library

Institutional subscriptions

Table of contents (34 papers)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-XV
    Download chapter PDF

  2. Approaches to Real-Life Situations: Problems of Improvement

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1
      Download chapter PDF

    2. Editor’s Introduction

      • Helmut Jungermann, Gerard De Zeeuw
      Pages 3-5

    3. Cognitive Processes and Societal Risk Taking

      • Paul Slovic, Baruch Fischhoff, Sarah Lichtenstein
      Pages 7-36

    4. Cognitive Processes and Societal Risk Taking: Comments

      • Heimut Jungermann
      Pages 37-43

    5. The Use of Credible Intervals in Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results

      • Allan H. Murphy, Robert L. Winkler
      Pages 45-56

    6. Decisions Concerning Job Choice

      • Riszard Kietlinski
      Pages 57-66

    7. The Application of Multi-Attribute Utility Models to Some Uncertain Decision Situations in Areas of Business and Public Policy

      • Enda Hession
      Pages 67-80

    8. Influence of Attribute Formulation on the Evaluation of Apartments by Multi-Attribute Utility Procedures

      • K. Michael Aschenbrenner
      Pages 81-97

    9. Modelling Preferences among Distributions Using Fuzzy Relations

      • Eric Jacquet-Lagreze
      Pages 99-114

    10. Subjective Probability Elicitation: A Comparison of Performance Variables

      • George R. Chesley
      Pages 115-126

    11. Rewarding Expertise in Probability Assessment

      • Robert L. Winkler
      Pages 127-140

    12. The Psychology of the Ouija Board

      • James A. Wise
      Pages 141-157

  3. Analysis and Improvement of Models and Methods

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 159-159
      Download chapter PDF

    2. Editor’s Introduction

      • Helmut Jungermann, Gerard De Zeeuw
      Pages 161-163

    3. Application of Multi-Attribute Utility Theory

      • Patrick Humphreys
      Pages 165-207

    4. Applications of Multi-Attribute Utility Theory: Comments

      • Volker Bauer, Michael Wegener
      Pages 209-214

    5. “Motivational” Components of Utility

      • Janusz L. Grzelak, Tadeusz B. Iwiński, Jósef J. Radzicki
      Pages 215-230

    6. Methods for Aggregating Opinions

      • Robert M. Hogarth
      Pages 231-255

    7. Methods for Aggregating Opinions: Comments

      • Masanoa Toda
      Pages 257-262
Back to top

Keywords

About this book

It is only just recently that people have the tools to judge how well they are doing when making decisions. These tools were conceptualized in the seventeenth century. Since then many people have worked to sharpen the concepts, and to explore how these can be applied further. The problems of decision-making and the theory developed correspondingly have drawn the interest of mathematicians, psychologists, statisticians, economists, philosophers, organizational experts, sociologists, not only for their general relevance, but also for a more intrinsic fascination. There are quite a few institutionalized activities to disseminate results and stimulate research in decision-making. For about a decade now a European organizational structure, centered mainly around the psy­ chological interest in decision-making. There have been conferences in Hamburg, Amsterdam, Uxbridge, Rome and Darmstadt. Conference papers have been partly published+. The organization has thus stabilized, and its re­ latively long history makes it interesting to see what kind of developments occurred, within the area of interest.

Editors and Affiliations

  • Technische Hochschule Darmstadt, Deutschland

    Helmut Jungermann

  • Universiteit van Amsterdam, Holland

    Gerard Zeeuw

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs

  • Book Subtitle: Proceedings of the Fifth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making, Darmstadt, 1–4 September, 1975

  • Editors: Helmut Jungermann, Gerard Zeeuw

  • Series Title: Theory and Decision Library

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-1276-8

  • Publisher: Springer Dordrecht

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

  • Copyright Information: D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland 1977

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-90-277-0855-7Published: 30 September 1977

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-94-010-1278-2Published: 12 October 2011

  • eBook ISBN: 978-94-010-1276-8Published: 06 December 2012

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XVI, 528

  • Topics: Methodology of the Social Sciences

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Back to top

Search

Navigation