Energy Policy Modeling: United States and Canadian Experiences

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xxi

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2. The Process of Energy Policy Modeling

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-16

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   2. Why should Energy Models Form a Significant Policy Input in an Uncertain Political World?

      • W. Marcuse

      Pages 17-21

   3. Crash Mode Modeling: Analyzing the National Energy Plan

      • Harvey J. Greenberg

      Pages 22-25

   4. The Evaluation of Sponsored Research in Energy Storage

      • William B. Widhelm

      Pages 26-31

   5. A Dynamic Welfare Equilibrium Framework for Projecting Energy Futures

      • S. C. Parikh

      Pages 32-48

   6. Panel Discussion on Important Canadian Energy Decisions for the 1980s and Beyond

      • H. Goldberg, P. Eglington, J. Hayward, C. Law, D. Quon

      Pages 49-64

3. National and Regional Energy Modeling Concepts and Methods

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 65-69

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   2. A Survey of Some Energy Policy Models

      • J. D. Fuller, W. T. Ziemba

      Pages 70-109

   3. The Brookhaven Energy System Optimization Model: Its Variants and Uses

      • Andy S. Kydes

      Pages 110-136

   4. An Integrated Forecasting Model: A Progress Report

      • William E. Balson, Stephen C. Peck

      Pages 137-154

   5. Network Based Regional Energy Planning Models: An Evolutionary Exposé

      • Joseph G. Debanné

      Pages 155-184

   6. The Alberta Energy Resources Allocation Model

      • D. J. McConaghy, D. Quon

      Pages 185-205

   7. An Alberta Energy Planning Model

      • T. E. Daniel, H. M. Goldberg

      Pages 206-215

   8. Time Horizons in Energy Planning Models

      • Richard C. Grinold

      Pages 216-232

   9. Appendix

      • W. T. Ziemba, S. L. Schwartz

      Pages 233-237

   10. How should We Compare Forecasting Models When They Differ?

       • J. M. Mulvey

       Pages 238-247

   11. Panel Discussion on the Future of National Energy Modeling

       • E. Peterson, W. Marcuse, H. Greenberg, J. Helliwell, J. Debanné

       Pages 248-265

4. The Canadian-United States Gas Pipeline

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 267-278

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   2. Canadian Perspectives on the Alaska Highway Pipeline: Modeling the Alternatives

      • J. F. Helliwell, K. Hendricks, D. B. C. Williams

      Pages 279-299

Alex Cowie As the twentieth century draws to a close, one of our greatest problems is the availability of energy. One way to study the energy problem is to resolve it into four areas: energy demand, energy sources, transportation of energy from sources to demand centers, and the optimal allocation of energy forms to demands. Each of these areas is extremely complex by itself. When efforts are made to tie them together, for example, to produce a National Policy, the complexities are compounded. Another way to study the energy problem, because of its political and social consequences, is to resolve it into geographical areas. Individual provinces of Canada or states of the United States will have their concerns about energy within their geographical boundaries. As producer, consumer, or both, each wants to ensure an energy development program which will work to the maximum benefit of its citizens. Similarly, countries endeavor to protect their citizens and undertake energy policies that will assure either a continuation of the existing quality of life or - particularly in the case of "Third World" countries - a marked improvement in quality of life. These competing and conflicting goals call for a study which encompasses the whole world. Again, complexity is piled upon complexity. If the prob­ lem is not yet sufficiently complex, there is an equally complex question of the effect of energy production and use on the ecology.

• development
• energy
• energy policy
• petroleum
• production

• Faculty of Commerce and Business Administration, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada

  W. T. Ziemba, S. L. Schwartz

Policies and ethics