Greenhouse Gas Inventories

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-ii

   PDF

2. Foreword

   • Michał Kleiber

   Pages 1-1

3. Benefits of dealing with uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories: introduction

   • Matthias Jonas, Gregg Marland, Wilfried Winiwarter, Thomas White, Zbigniew Nahorski, Rostyslav Bun et al.

   Pages 3-18

4. Statistical dependence in input data of national greenhouse gas inventories: effects on the overall inventory uncertainty

   • Wilfried Winiwarter, Barbara Muik

   Pages 19-36

5. Uncertainty analysis for estimation of landfill emissions and data sensitivity for the input variation

   • J. Szemesova, M. Gera

   Pages 37-54

6. Toward Bayesian uncertainty quantification for forestry models used in the United Kingdom Greenhouse Gas Inventory for land use, land use change, and forestry

   • Marcel van Oijen, Amanda Thomson

   Pages 55-67

7. Atmospheric inversions for estimating CO2 fluxes: methods and perspectives

   • P. Ciais, P. Rayner, F. Chevallier, P. Bousquet, M. Logan, P. Peylin et al.

   Pages 69-92

8. European CO2 fluxes from atmospheric inversions using regional and global transport models

   • L. Rivier, Ph. Peylin, Ph. Ciais, M. Gloor, C. Rödenbeck, C. Geels et al.

   Pages 93-115

9. Remotely sensed soil moisture integration in an ecosystem carbon flux model. The spatial implication

   • Willem W. Verstraeten, Frank Veroustraete, Wolfgang Wagner, Tom Van Roey, Walter Heyns, Sara Verbeiren et al.

   Pages 117-136

10. Can the uncertainty of full carbon accounting of forest ecosystems be made acceptable to policymakers?

    • Anatoly Shvidenko, Dmitry Schepaschenko, Ian McCallum, Sten Nilsson

    Pages 137-157

11. Terrestrial full carbon account for Russia: revised uncertainty estimates and their role in a bottom-up/top-down accounting exercise

    • M. Gusti, M. Jonas

    Pages 159-174

12. Comparison of preparatory signal analysis techniques for consideration in the (post-)Kyoto policy process

    • Matthias Jonas, M. Gusti, W. Jęda, Z. Nahorski, S. Nilsson

    Pages 175-213

13. Verification of compliance with GHG emission targets: annex B countries

    • A. Bun, K. Hamal, M. Jonas, M. Lesiv

    Pages 215-225

14. Spatial GHG inventory at the regional level: accounting for uncertainty

    • R. Bun, Kh. Hamal, M. Gusti, A. Bun

    Pages 227-244

15. Quantitative quality assessment of the greenhouse gas inventory for agriculture in Europe

    • Adrian Leip

    Pages 245-261

16. A statistical model for spatial inventory data: a case study of N2O emissions in municipalities of southern Norway

    • Joanna Horabik, Zbigniew Nahorski

    Pages 263-276

17. Carbon emission trading and carbon taxes under uncertainties

    • Tatiana Ermolieva, Yuri Ermoliev, Günther Fischer, Matthias Jonas, Marek Makowski, Fabian Wagner

    Pages 277-289

18. CO ₂ emission trading model with trading prices

    • Jarosław Stańczak, Paweł Bartoszczuk

    Pages 291-301

19. Compliance and emission trading rules for asymmetric emission uncertainty estimates

    • Zbigniew Nahorski, Joanna Horabik

    Pages 303-325

20. The impact of uncertain emission trading markets on interactive resource planning processes and international emission trading experiments

    • Stefan Pickl, Erik Kropat, Heiko Hahn

    Pages 327-338

The assessment of greenhouse gases emitted to and removed from the atmosphere is high on the international political and scientific agendas. Growing international concern and cooperation regarding the climate change problem have increased the need for policy-oriented solutions to the issue of uncertainty in, and related to, inventories of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The approaches to addressing uncertainty discussed here reflect attempts to improve national inventories, not only for their own sake but also from a wider, systems analytical perspective — a perspective that seeks to strengthen the usefulness of national inventories under a compliance and/or global monitoring and reporting framework. These approaches demonstrate the benefits of including inventory uncertainty in policy analyses. The authors of the contributed papers show that considering uncertainty helps avoid situations that can, for example, create a false sense of certainty or lead to invalid views of subsystems. This may eventually prevent related errors from showing up in analyses. However, considering uncertainty does not come for free. Proper treatment of uncertainty is costly and demanding because it forces us to make the step from “simple to complex” and only then to discuss potential simplifications. Finally, comprehensive treatment of uncertainty does not offer policymakers quick and easy solutions.

• CO2 fluxes
• GHG
• Greenhouse gas
• Policy
• Uncertainty
• climate change

• IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria

  Matthias Jonas

• Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland

  Zbigniew Nahorski

• International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria

  Sten Nilsson

• Ministry of Environment, Victoria, BC, Canada

  Thomas Whiter

The Editors Iain Stewart and Matthias Jonas work for the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), an international scientific institute that conducts research into the critical issues of global environmental, economic, technological, and social change that we face in the twenty-first century. Their findings provide valuable options to policy makers to shape the future of our changing world. IIASA is independent and funded by scientific institutions in Africa, the Americas, Asia and Europe.

Policies and ethics