Demography and Infrastructure

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xxii

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2. Introduction to Infrastructure and Demography (InfraDem)

   • Wilhelm Kuckshinrichs

   Pages 1-8

3. The Macroeconomic Perspective

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 9-9

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4. Part I

   1. The Setting: Demographic Trends and Economic Development in Germany and Two Selected Regions

      • Stephan Kühntopf, Thusnelda Tivig, Robert Stelter

      Pages 11-43

   2. Macroeconomic Conditions for Infrastructure Adaptation to Demographic Change

      • Joachim Geske

      Pages 45-66

   3. Demographically Induced Changes in the Structure of Final Demand and Infrastructure Use

      • Tobias Kronenberg

      Pages 67-91

5. Specific Types of Infrastructures

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 93-93

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6. Part ii

   1. Demographic Effects on Passenger Transport Demand

      • Markus Mehlin, Anne Klein-Hitpaß, Rita Cyganski

      Pages 95-110

   2. The Demand for Air Transport and Consequences for the Airports of Hamburg and Rostock

      • Michael Hepting, Henry Pak, Dieter Wilken

      Pages 111-129

   3. Impacts on the National Energy System

      • Thomas Pregger, Joachim Nitsch, Wolfram Krewitt

      Pages 131-146

   4. The Potential for District Heating Based on Renewable Energy: A Spatial Analysis

      • Christoph Schillings, Sonja Simon

      Pages 147-164

7. Households and Lifestyles

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 165-165

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8. Part iii

   1. Mobility of the Elderly – Facts and Projections

      • Anne Klein-Hitpaß, Barbara Lenz

      Pages 167-188

   2. On the Energy Demand of Households

      • Kerstin Engel, Patrick Hansen, Tobias Kronenberg

      Pages 189-210

9. Evaluation of Findings

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 211-211

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10. Part iv

    1. Evaluation of Findings on Sustainability Strategies

       • Hermann Keimel, Holger Schlör

       Pages 213-224

    2. Policy Implications: The Regional Perspective and Beyond

       • Wilhelm Kuckshinrichs, Tobias Kronenberg, Joachim Geske

       Pages 225-243

11. Back Matter

    Pages 245-248

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Population ageing has been going on for many decades, but population shrinking is a rather new phenomenon. The population of Germany, as in many other countries, has passed a plateau and is currently shrinking. Demographic change is a challenge for infrastructure planning due to the longevity of infrastructure capital and the need to match supply and demand in order to ensure cost-efficiency. This book summarises the findings of the INFRADEM project team, a multidisciplinary research group that worked together to estimate the effects of demographic change on infrastructure demand. Economists, engineers and geographers present studies from top-down and bottom-up perspectives, focusing on Germany and two selected regions: Hamburg and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. The contributors employed a broad range of methods, including an overlapping-generations model for Germany, regional input-output models, an energy systems model, and a spatial model of the transportation infrastructure.

• demographic change
• energy
• infrastructure
• sustainable development
• transport

• IEF-STE, Forschungszentrum Jülich, Jülich, Germany

  Tobias Kronenberg, Wilhelm Kuckshinrichs

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