Overview
- Provides an evidence-based assessment of impact of migration and labour force participation on population and labour markets dynamics
- Provides state of the art projection models and simulations
- Comprehensive comparative analysis of possible population developments in 27 European countries
- Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras
Part of the book series: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis (PSDE, volume 32)
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Table of contents (17 chapters)
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Front Matter
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International Migration: Policies, Theories, Trends and Assumptions
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Front Matter
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INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION - POLICIES, THEORIES, TRENDS AND ASSUMPTIONS
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Past and Future of Fertility and Mortality in Europe
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Front Matter
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PAST AND FUTURE OF FERTILITY AND MORTALITY IN EUROPE
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Historical Development and Assumptions About Labour Force Participation in Europe
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Front Matter
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HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT AND ASSUMPTIONS ON LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION IN EUROPE
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Future of European Populations and the European Labour Force
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Front Matter
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FURURES OF EUROPEAN POPULATIONS AND LABOUR FORCE
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Beyond of Replacement Migration: Results of Population and Labour Force Simulations
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Front Matter
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BEYOND OF REPLACEMENT MIGRATION: RESULTS OF POPULATION AND LABOUR FORCE SIMULATIONS
Keywords
- 2002-2052
- Ageing
- Demographic and labour market parameters
- Economic activity on population and labour force resources
- Fertility
- Future population dynamics
- Impact of international migration
- International migration
- Labour force trajectories
- Migration and labour market policies
- Mortality
- Population and labour size structures
- Population decline
- Population forecasting
- Population forecasting and simulation exercise
- Projection model
- Replacement migration
- Size of replacement migration
About this book
The changes of populations are determined by fertility, mortality and migration. On the national level, international migration is a factor of increasing demographic, economic, social and political importance. This book addresses the debate on the impact of international migration and economic activity on population and labour force resources in future. It presents a study conducted for 27 European countries, looking 50 years ahead (2002-2052). An extended discussion of theories and factors underlying the assumed evolution of the components of change and economic activity is included as well as a detailed analysis of the historical trends. These theoretical and empirical considerations lead to defining scenarios of future mortality, fertility, economic activity and international migration, which have been fed into a projection model, producing various future population dynamics and labour force trajectories. In addition, simulations have been made to estimate the size of replacement migration needed to maintain selected demographic and labour market parameters in the countries of Europe.
The results presented in this book allow researchers, governments and policy makers to evaluate to what extent various migration and labour market policies may be instrumental in achieving the desired population and labour size and structures.
The secondary purpose of this volume is to reveal the methodology and argumentation lying behind a complex population forecasting and simulation exercise, which is not done frequently, but is critical for the assessment of the forecasts and also valuable from a purely didactic point of view.
Editors and Affiliations
Bibliographic Information
Book Title: International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe
Editors: Marek Kupiszewski
Series Title: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-8948-9
Publisher: Springer Dordrecht
eBook Packages: Humanities, Social Sciences and Law, Social Sciences (R0)
Copyright Information: Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. 2013
Hardcover ISBN: 978-90-481-8947-2Published: 08 February 2013
Softcover ISBN: 978-94-007-9269-2Published: 07 March 2015
eBook ISBN: 978-90-481-8948-9Published: 11 February 2013
Series ISSN: 1877-2560
Series E-ISSN: 2215-1990
Edition Number: 1
Number of Pages: XIV, 350
Number of Illustrations: 48 b/w illustrations
Topics: Migration, Demography, Population Economics, Statistics, general