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Envisioning Uncertain Futures

Scenarios as a Tool in Security, Privacy and Mobility Research

  • Book
  • © 2018

Overview

Editors:
  1. Roman Peperhove

    1. Berlin, Germany

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  2. Karlheinz Steinmüller

    1. Berlin, Germany

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  3. Hans-Liudger Dienel

    1. Berlin, Germany

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  • New articles in political sciences

Part of the book series: Zukunft und Forschung (ZUFORSCH)

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Table of contents (15 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-XIV
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  2. Introduction

    • Roman Peperhove
    Pages 15-21

  3. Narrative Scenarios as an Analytical Instrument

    • Karlheinz Steinmüller
    Pages 23-35

  4. Scenarios that tell a Story. Normative Narrative Scenarios – An Efficient Tool for Participative Innovation-Oriented Foresight

    • Robert Gaßner, Karlheinz Steinmüller
    Pages 37-48

  5. Surprising Scenarios. Imagination as a Dimension of Foresight

    • Aharon Hauptman, Karlheinz Steinmüller
    Pages 49-68

  6. Security 2025: Scenarios as an Instrument for Dialogue

    • Lars Gerhold, Karlheinz Steinmüller
    Pages 69-82

  7. Didactical Functions of Dark and Bright Scenarios: Examples from the European Transport Industry

    • Massimo Moraglio, Hans-Liudger Dienel, Robin Kellermann
    Pages 83-103

  8. The Use of SWOT Analysis for Future Scenarios: A Case Study of Privacy and Emerging Technologies

    • Liisa Luoto, Annika Lonkila
    Pages 105-131

  9. The Future of Water Use: Scenarios for Water Management in Telangana - Strengthening Local Governance in the Minor Irrigation Sector

    • Angela Jain, Sascha Dannenberg
    Pages 133-141

  10. The Future of Water Use: Construction of Scenarios in the Project

    • Sascha Dannenberg, Angela Jain
    Pages 143-153

  11. Peace Operations 2025”: From Shaping Factors to Scenarios

    • Björn Theis, Stefan Köppe
    Pages 155-173

  12. Anticipating New Security Threats: The FESTOS Project

    • Yair Sharan
    Pages 175-188

  13. The Development of FESTOS Scenarios

    • Roman Peperhove
    Pages 189-204

  14. The FESTOS Scenarios

    • Karlheinz Steinmüller
    Pages 205-236

  15. Reflections on how to Improve Future Scenarios

    • Roman Peperhove
    Pages 237-256

  16. Conclusion

    • Roman Peperhove
    Pages 257-262

  17. Back Matter

    Pages 263-269
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Keywords

About this book

This book contains a collection of projects and scenarios dealing with new risks from emerging technologies, future peace keeping operations, and water distribution issues by combining analysis with dialogue. Special attention is paid to the methodology of narrative scenarios, and the role of imagination in the generation of these scenarios. Appearing as short stories, narrative scenarios include a great amount of explicit and implicit knowledge and they need story telling skills to become consistent, coherent as well as compelling and convincing pictures of the future.

Editors and Affiliations

  • Berlin, Germany

    Roman Peperhove, Karlheinz Steinmüller, Hans-Liudger Dienel

About the editors

Roman Peperhove is head of the research Unit for Public Security at Freie Universität Berlin.

Dr. Karlheinz Steinmüller is scientific director of a foresight consulting company and science fiction author.

Prof. Dr. Hans-Liudger Dienel holds the professorship "Arbeitslehre/Technik und Partizipation" at the Technical University of Berlin and is Managing Director of the nexus Institute for Cooperation Management and Interdisciplinary Research GmbH.

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