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The Risk Analysis Controversy

An Institutional Perspective

  • Conference proceedings
  • © 1982

Overview

Editors:
  1. Howard C. Kunreuther

    1. Department of Decision Sciences Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, USA

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  2. Eryl V. Ley

    1. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria

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Table of contents (16 papers)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-VIII
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  2. Introduction

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1
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    2. Overview

      • Howard Kunreuther, Eryl Ley
      Pages 3-12

    3. Siting an LNG Terminal in California: A Descriptive Framework

      • Joanne Linnerooth
      Pages 13-25

    4. Science and Policy: Their Separation and Integration in Risk Analysis

      • Howard Raiffa
      Pages 27-37

  3. Risk Assessment in a Problem Context

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 39-39
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    2. Comparing Risk Assessments for Liquefied Energy Gas Terminals — Some Results

      • Christoph Mandl, John Lathrop
      Pages 41-60

    3. Societal Response to Three Mile Island and the Kemeny Commission Report

      • Roger E. Kasperson, Arnold Gray
      Pages 61-77

    4. Decision Making in Environmental Crisis Situations

      • James E. Dooley
      Pages 79-90

    5. Main Gas Pipeline Route Selection Problems, Taking into Consideration Risk and Uncertainty Factors

      • Y. S. Oseredko, O. I. Larichev, A. I. Mechitov
      Pages 91-101

    6. Worldwide Standards and Practices for Siting LNG and LPG Facilities: A Comparison

      • Elisabeth M. Drake, Marian H. Long
      Pages 103-112

  4. Institutional Aspects of Risk

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 113-113
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    2. Risks and the Waning of Compromise in Politics

      • Volker Ronge
      Pages 115-125

    3. Institutional Mythologies and Dual Societies in the Management of Risk

      • Brian Wynne
      Pages 127-143

    4. A Proposal to Create a Cultural Theory of Risk

      • Michael Thompson, Aaron Wildavsky
      Pages 145-161

  5. Decision Processes and Prescriptive Aspects of Risk

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 163-163
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    2. Evaluating Technological Risk: Prescriptive and Descriptive Perspectives

      • John W. Lathrop
      Pages 165-180

    3. Group Decision Making Methods for Evaluating Social and Technological Risks

      • Paul R. Kleindorfer
      Pages 181-193

    4. Market Risk Assessment of Catastrophic Risks

      • William B. Fairley
      Pages 195-199

  6. General Discussions and Future Research Needs

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 201-201
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Keywords

About this book

The first summer study at IIASA brought together a cross-section of individ­ uals from different disciplines and nationalities. All the participants have had an interest in the role of risk analysis given the institutional arrangements which guide decision making for new technologies. This book contains edited versions of the papers presented at the meeting as well as a transcript of the discussions which took place. It provides the ingredients for a broader framework fcr studying the problems associated with technology and society where risk is representative of a much wider set of concerns than simply the probability and consequences of a hazardous accident. The Bundesministerium fuer Forschung und Technologie has an interest in promoting risk and safety research because of these new developments in society over the past ten years. In particular, there has been a diminished confidence in experts' statements on risk and a realization that many of the events which are being examined are not subject to detailed scientific analysis. There has also been an increasing recognition that distinctions must be made between analysis of the risk associated with an event and people's values and preferences. Another important development is the concern by the public that they participate more fully in the decision process on these issues. These concerns were articulated in both the papers and the open discussions at the summer study.

Editors and Affiliations

  • Department of Decision Sciences Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, USA

    Howard C. Kunreuther

  • International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria

    Eryl V. Ley

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