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In Search of Economic Indicators

Essays on Business Surveys

  • Conference proceedings
  • © 1977

Overview

Editors:
  1. Werner H. Strigel

    1. IFO Institute for Economic Research, Munich, Germany

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Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems (LNE, volume 146)

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Table of contents (10 papers)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages N2-XV
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  2. The Finger on the Pulse of the Economy

    • W. H. Strigel
    Pages 1-27

  3. The Business Situation: On the Meaning of an Undetermined Survey Variable

    • K. A. Vogler
    Pages 29-45

  4. Business Cycle Indicators from Qualitative Data

    • J.-D. Lindlbauer
    Pages 47-65

  5. The “Business Climate” as Leading Indicator

    • W. H. Strigel
    Pages 67-79

  6. Branch Indicators for the Future Demand of Firms

    • G. Nerb
    Pages 81-94

  7. Forecasting Capital Expenditure with Plan Data

    • W. Gerstenberger
    Pages 95-120

  8. Expectations Curbing Growth

    • W. H. Strigel
    Pages 121-130

  9. Satisfaction and Growth Expectations in Industry and Trade

    • G. Nerb, W. H. Strigel
    Pages 131-155

  10. Basic Research with Qualitative Data and with Anticipations

    • O. Anderson
    Pages 157-170

  11. Integrating the IFO Business Surveys into the Framework of Entrepreneurial Variables

    • K. C. Kuhlo
    Pages 171-184

  12. Back Matter

    Pages 185-201
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Keywords

About this book

The object of this collection of essays is to acquaint the English­ speaking reader with the work of the IFO Institute for Economic Re­ search, tlunich, in the field of business cycle surveys. These written surveys of about 10,000 businessmen in the West German economy collect information which is not otherwise contained in the official statis­ tics. The information in question primarily involves entrepreneurial judgements and anticipations (plans and expectations). These variables have proved to be very useful for economic diagnosis and prognosis. In the meantime, the survey methods developed by the IFO Institute have been adopted by 16 different countries throughout the world. The monthly business cycle surveys carried out by the EEC Commission, Brussels, in the industries of the member countries are also based to a large extent on the IFO methods. This is the first publication in English to furnish a comprehensive review of the IFO survey technique and the possibilities of utilization of this survey method in business cycle research. Efforts to develop new economic indicators on the basis of judgement and anticipation data have not yet terminated; many theoretical and methodical questions have still to be answered, and perhaps many have yet to be posed. Accordingly, the following collection of ten essays is not a final stock-taking but an interim report on several paths taken by the IFO Institute in its search for economic indicators. Possibly, some of these will later prove to have been a roundabout way.

Editors and Affiliations

  • IFO Institute for Economic Research, Munich, Germany

    Werner H. Strigel

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: In Search of Economic Indicators

  • Book Subtitle: Essays on Business Surveys

  • Editors: Werner H. Strigel

  • Series Title: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-48304-2

  • Publisher: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

  • Copyright Information: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1977

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-3-540-08346-7Published: 01 July 1977

  • eBook ISBN: 978-3-642-48304-2Published: 06 December 2012

  • Series ISSN: 0075-8442

  • Series E-ISSN: 2196-9957

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XVI, 200

  • Number of Illustrations: 7 b/w illustrations

  • Topics: Operations Management

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