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Agent-Based Simulation of Vulnerability Dynamics

A Case Study of the German North Sea Coast

  • Book
  • © 2013

Overview

Authors:
  1. Cilli Sobiech

    1. OFFIS, Oldenburg, Germany

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  • Nominated for a Springer Theses Prize by the University of Hamburg, Germany
  • Ambitiously bridges the barriers between theoretical, empirical and methodical research work in the field of complex systems research and risk research
  • Innovative application of agent-based simulation to analyse the multidimensional and context specific phenomenon of vulnerability
  • Set relevant conclusions with regard to complexity theory and risk management in flood prone coastal regions
  • Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras

Part of the book series: Springer Theses (Springer Theses)

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Table of contents (6 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xiv
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  2. Introduction

    • Cilli Sobiech
    Pages 1-8

  3. Research Design

    • Cilli Sobiech
    Pages 9-29

  4. Theoretical Research Framework

    • Cilli Sobiech
    Pages 31-73

  5. Regional Research Framework

    • Cilli Sobiech
    Pages 75-91

  6. System Analysis

    • Cilli Sobiech
    Pages 93-181

  7. Reflexion

    • Cilli Sobiech
    Pages 183-198

  8. Back Matter

    Pages 199-224
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Keywords

About this book

This thesis constitutes an extraordinary innovative research approach in transferring the concepts and methods of complex systems to risk research. It ambitiously bridges the barriers between theoretical, empirical and methodical research work and integrates these fields into one comprehensive approach of dealing with uncertainty in socio-ecological systems. The developed agent-based simulation aims at the dynamics of social vulnerability in the considered system of the German North Sea Coast. Thus, the social simulation provides an analytical method to explore the individual, relational, and spatial aspects leading to dynamics of vulnerability in society. Combining complexity science and risk research by the method of agent-based simulation hereby emphasizes the importance of understanding interrelations inside the system for the system's development, i.e. for the evolving. Based on a vulnerability assessment regarding vulnerability characteristics, present risk behavior and self-protection preferences of private households against the impacts of flooding and storm surges, possible system trajectories could be explored by means of simulation experiments. The system-analytical approach therefore contributes to an integrated consideration of multi-dimensional and context-sensitv social phenomena such as vulnerability. Furthermore it achieves conceptually and strategically relevant implications for risk research and complex systems research.

Authors and Affiliations

  • OFFIS, Oldenburg, Germany

    Cilli Sobiech

About the author

Cilli Sobiech earned her doctoral degree at the University of Hamburg, Department of Integrative Geography. She worked at the Department Human Dimensions of Coastal Areas at the Institute of Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht (HZG) Germany. Her thesis deals with agent-based social simulation, complex systems research and vulnerability towards storm surges and climate change at the German North Sea Coast. She holds a diploma in Physical Geography from Leibniz University Hannover, Germany, and during her professional career she contributed to various projects dealing with strategies and tools for risk assessment and management in Europe and Latin America.

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: Agent-Based Simulation of Vulnerability Dynamics

  • Book Subtitle: A Case Study of the German North Sea Coast

  • Authors: Cilli Sobiech

  • Series Title: Springer Theses

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32365-2

  • Publisher: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg

  • eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental Science, Earth and Environmental Science (R0)

  • Copyright Information: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-3-642-32364-5Published: 11 October 2012

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-3-642-43326-9Published: 09 November 2014

  • eBook ISBN: 978-3-642-32365-2Published: 10 October 2012

  • Series ISSN: 2190-5053

  • Series E-ISSN: 2190-5061

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XIV, 226

  • Topics: Natural Hazards, Human Geography, Coastal Sciences

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