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Complex Decision Making

Theory and Practice

  • Book
  • © 2008

Overview

Editors:
  1. H. Qudrat-Ullah

    1. School of Administrative Studies, York University, Toronto, Canada

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  2. J.M. Spector

    1. Learning Systems Institute Instructional Systems Program, Florida State University, Tallahassee, USA

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    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

  3. P.I. Davidsen

    1. Department of Geography System Dynamics Program, University of Bergen, Norway

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Part of the book series: Understanding Complex Systems (UCS)

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Table of contents (16 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-X
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  2. Complex Decision Making Concepts, Theories, and Empirical Evidence

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1
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    2. How to Improve Dynamic Decision Making? Practice and Promise

      • Mustafa Karakul, Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
      Pages 3-24

    3. Expertise and Dynamic Tasks

      • J. Michael Spector
      Pages 25-37

  3. Tools and Techniques for Decision Making in Complex Systems

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 39-39
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    2. Dynamic Handling of Uncertainty for Decision Making

      • S.C. Lenny Koh
      Pages 41-58

    3. Using System Dynamics and Multiple Objective Optimization to Support Policy Analysis for Complex Systems

      • Jim Duggan
      Pages 59-81

    4. Creation of Hydroelectric System Scheduling by Simulation

      • Jesús M. Latorre, Santiago Cerisola, Andrés Ramos, Rafael Bellido, Alejandro Perea
      Pages 83-96

    5. Complex Decision Making using Non-Parametric Data Envelopment Analysis

      • Michael Alexander
      Pages 97-111

    6. Using Group Model Building to Inform Public Policy Making and Implementation

      • Aldo A. Zagonel, John Rohrbaugh
      Pages 113-138

    7. Agents First! Using Agent-based Simulation to Identify and Quantify Macro Structures

      • Nadine Schieritz, Peter M. Milling
      Pages 139-152

  4. System Dynamics and Agent-Based Modeling in Action

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 153-153
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    2. Influencing and Interpreting Health and Social Care Policy in the UK

      • Eric Wolstenholme, David Monk, Douglas McKelvie, Gill Smith
      Pages 155-183

    3. System Dynamics Advances Strategic Economic Transition Planning in a Developing Nation

      • Brian Dangerfield
      Pages 185-209

    4. Saving a Valley: Systemic Decision-making Based onQualitative and Quantitative System Dynamics

      • Markus Schwaninger
      Pages 211-226

    5. Building Long-Term Manufacturer-Retailer Relationships through Strategic Human Resource Management Policies: A System Dynamics Approach

      • Enzo Bivona, Francesco Ceresia
      Pages 227-246

    6. Diffusion and Social Networks: Revisiting Medical Innovation with Agents

      • Nazmun N. Ratna, Anne Dray, Pascal Perez, R. Quentin Grafton, David Newth, Tom Kompas
      Pages 247-265

  5. Methodological Issues in Research on Complex Decision Making

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 267-267
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    2. Measuring Change in Mental Models of Complex Dynamic Systems

      • James K. Doyle, Michael J. Radzicki, W. Scott Trees
      Pages 269-294

    3. A Comprehensive Model of Goal Dynamics in Organizations: Setting, Evaluation and Revision

      • Yaman Barlas, Hakan Yasarcan
      Pages 295-320
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Keywords

About this book

Today's ever more complex world creates challenges for decision makers. This volume reviews the principles underlying complex decision making, the handling of uncertainties in dynamic environments, and the various modeling approaches. Beginning with a discussion of the underlying concepts, theories and empirical evidence, the book gives you a range of practical tools and techniques for decision making in complex environments and systems.

Editors and Affiliations

  • School of Administrative Studies, York University, Toronto, Canada

    H. Qudrat-Ullah

  • Learning Systems Institute Instructional Systems Program, Florida State University, Tallahassee, USA

    J.M. Spector

  • Department of Geography System Dynamics Program, University of Bergen, Norway

    P.I. Davidsen

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