Deploying Foresight for Policy and Strategy Makers

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xx

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2. Foresight: Turning Challenges into Opportunities

   • Leonid Gokhberg, Dirk Meissner, Alexander Sokolov

   Pages 1-8

3. Foresight for Anticipatory STI Strategies

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 9-9

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   2. Integration of Trend Monitoring into STI Policy

      • Ozcan Saritas

      Pages 11-32

   3. Identification of Stakeholders’ Hidden Agendas for Technology Diffusion

      • Dirk Meissner

      Pages 33-48

   4. Integrating Foresight with Corporate Planning

      • Jonathan D. Linton, Steven T. Walsh

      Pages 49-64

   5. Challenges and Opportunities for Corporate Foresight

      • Konstantin Vishnevskiy, Oleg Karasev

      Pages 65-79

   6. Technological Evolution and Transhumanism

      • José Cordeiro

      Pages 81-92

4. Foresight for STI Policy: Country Cases

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 93-93

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   2. Research Priorities and Foresight Exercises in South Africa: Review and Recent Results

      • Anastassios Pouris, Portia Raphasha

      Pages 95-112

   3. STI Foresight in Brazil

      • Cristiano Cagnin

      Pages 113-124

   4. National System of Science and Technology Foresight in Russia

      • Alexander Chulok

      Pages 125-143

   5. Building a National System of Technology Foresight in Korea

      • Moonjung Choi, Han-Lim Choi

      Pages 145-159

   6. Foresight, Competitive Intelligence and Business Analytics for Developing and Running Better Programmes

      • Jonathan Calof, Gregory Richards, Jack Smith

      Pages 161-180

5. Future Oriented STI Policy Context

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 181-181

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   2. Exploring the Potential for Foresight and Forward-Looking Activity in Horizon 2020

      • Jennifer Cassingena Harper

      Pages 183-195

   3. Impact Analysis of Foresight for STI Policy Formulation: Cases of Romania, Vietnam and Kazakhstan

      • Ricardo Seidl da Fonseca

      Pages 197-225

   4. The Future of Services

      • Ian Miles

      Pages 227-244

   5. Future-Oriented Positioning of Knowledge Intensive Local Networks in Global Value Chains: The Case of Turkey

      • Erkan Erdil, Hadi Tolga Göksidan

      Pages 245-264

6. Conclusions

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 265-265

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This book develops foresight techniques to turn future societal challenges into opportunities. The authors present foresight approaches for innovation policy and management. Future developments in fields such as education, energy, new materials, nanotechnologies are highlighted for different countries. Readers will discover tools and instruments to capture the potentials of the grand societal challenges as defined by the United Nations. This book is a valuable resource for researchers and scholars with an interest in foresight methods and gives practical hints for policy makers and managers to take account of the grand opportunities in their business and policy strategies.

• Grand Challenges
• Innovation
• Research and Development
• STI Policy
• Technological Change
• Technology Management

• Higher School of Economics, National Research University, Moscow, Russia

  Leonid Gokhberg, Alexander Sokolov

• Institute for Statistical Studies and Ec, National Research University, Moscow, Russia

  Dirk Meissner

Prof. Leonid Gokhberg is First Vice-Rector of the Higher School of Economics (HSE) – one of the most prominent research universities in Russia. He is also Director of HSE Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge (ISSEK). He authored over 400 publications in Russian and international peer-reviewed journals as well as monographs and university textbooks on S&T and innovation. Prof. Gokhberg has coordinated dozens of national and international projects, inter alia on S&T and innovation indicators, analyses, foresight and policies,  funded by public agencies, businesses and international organizations. Prof. Gokhberg has served as a consultant of OECD, Eurostat, UNESCO, and other international and national agencies. He is also a member of the OECD Government Foresight Network,  OECD and Eurostat working groups and task forces on indicators for S&T and innovation, information society and education, advisory boards of prestigious international and national initiatives. Prof. Gokhberg is editor-in-chief of the Scopus-indexed scientific journal “Foresight and STI Governance" and participates in editorial boards of several other influential journals. He holds PhD and Dr. of Sc. degrees in Economics. 

Dirk Meissner is Deputy Head of the Laboratory for Science and Technology Studies at HSE and Academic Head of the international Master program “Governance Science, Technology and Innovation”. Dr. Meissner has 15 years experience in research and teaching technology and innovation management and policy. He has strong background in science, technology and innovation for policy making and industrial management with special focus on Foresight and roadmapping, science, technology and innovation policies, funding of research and priority setting. Prior to joining the HSE Dirk was responsible for technology and innovation policy at the presidential office of the Swiss Science and Technology Council. Dirk also has long experience in top level consulting to key decision makers in industry as a management consultant for technology and innovation management with Arthur D. Little. He is and was member of international working groups on technology and innovation policy. Dirk represented Switzerland and currently the Russian Federation at the OECD Working Party on Technology and Innovation Policy.

Alexander Sokolov is Deputy Director of HSE Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge and Director of HSE International Foresight Centre. His main professional Interests are related to Foresight, S&T and innovation priorities, indicators and policies. Alexander is tenure professor at HSE, he teaches Foresight for undergraduate and postgraduate students. Alexander authored over 120 publications in Russia and internationally, he managed many Foresight projects, including: Russian S&T Foresight: 2030; Foresight for Russian ICT sector (2012); Innovation Priorities for the Sector of Natural Resources (2008-2010); Russian S&T Del
phi Study: 2025 (2007-2008); Russian Critical Technologies (2009) et al. He is member of several high-level working groups at OECD and other international organizations, serves for advisory boards at several international conferences and journals.

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