Overview
- New approaches to improvements in flood forecasting
- River simulation model for management support
- Assessment of the uncertainty of flood forecasting systems
- Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras
Part of the book series: GeoPlanet: Earth and Planetary Sciences (GEPS)
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Table of contents (12 chapters)
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Front Matter
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Spatial and Temporal Variability of Flow Regime and River Morphology Based on Analytical Studies and Measurements
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Front Matter
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Physically Based Modelling
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Front Matter
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Lumped Parameter Approximation to Distributed Modelling of River Flow, Distributed Model Emulators and On-line Data Assimilation
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Front Matter
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Ensemble Forecasts, Linking Conceptual and Data-Based Models for Flow Forecasting
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Front Matter
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End-User Interests
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Front Matter
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Keywords
About this book
This book presents the novel formulation and development of a Stochastic Flood Forecasting System, using the Middle River Vistula basin in Poland as a case study. The system has a modular structure, including models describing the rainfall-runoff and snow-melt processes for tributary catchments and the transformation of a flood wave within the reach. The sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of the elements of the study system are performed at both the calibration and verification stages. The spatial and temporal variability of catchment land use and river flow regime based on analytical studies and measurements is presented. A lumped parameter approximation to the distributed modelling of river flow is developed for the purpose of flow forecasting. Control System based emulators (Hammerstein-Wiener models) are applied to on-line data assimilation. Medium-range probabilistic weather forecasts (ECMWF) and on-line observations of temperature, precipitation and water levels are used to prolong the forecast lead time. The potential end-users will also benefit from a description of social vulnerability to natural hazards in the study area.
Editors and Affiliations
Bibliographic Information
Book Title: Stochastic Flood Forecasting System
Book Subtitle: The Middle River Vistula Case Study
Editors: Renata J. Romanowicz, Marzena Osuch
Series Title: GeoPlanet: Earth and Planetary Sciences
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18854-6
Publisher: Springer Cham
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental Science, Earth and Environmental Science (R0)
Copyright Information: Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015
Hardcover ISBN: 978-3-319-18853-9Published: 10 July 2015
Softcover ISBN: 978-3-319-38068-1Published: 17 October 2016
eBook ISBN: 978-3-319-18854-6Published: 29 June 2015
Series ISSN: 2190-5193
Series E-ISSN: 2190-5207
Edition Number: 1
Number of Pages: XVI, 198
Number of Illustrations: 9 b/w illustrations, 79 illustrations in colour
Topics: Geophysics/Geodesy, Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences, Geoecology/Natural Processes