Applied Mathematical Demography

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xxi

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2. Introduction: Population Without Age

   • Nathan Keyfitz

   Pages 1-33

3. The Life Table

   • Nathan Keyfitz

   Pages 34-53

4. Mortality Comparisons; The Male-Female Ratio

   • Nathan Keyfitz

   Pages 54-76

5. Fixed Regime of Mortality and Fertility: The Uses of Stable Theory

   • Nathan Keyfitz

   Pages 77-111

6. Birth and the Intrinsic Rate of Natural Increase

   • Nathan Keyfitz

   Pages 112-141

7. Reproductive Value, with Applications to Migration, Contraception, and Zero Population Growth

   • Nathan Keyfitz

   Pages 142-161

8. Understanding Population Characteristics

   • Nathan Keyfitz

   Pages 162-200

9. Projection and Forecasting

   • Nathan Keyfitz

   Pages 201-236

10. Some Types of Instability

    • Nathan Keyfitz

    Pages 237-272

11. The Demographic Theory of Kinship

    • Nathan Keyfitz

    Pages 273-302

12. Microdemography

    • Nathan Keyfitz

    Pages 303-349

13. The Multi-State Model

    • Nathan Keyfitz

    Pages 350-367

14. Family Demography

    • Nathan Keyfitz

    Pages 368-384

15. Heterogeneity and Selection in Population Analysis

    • Nathan Keyfitz

    Pages 385-399

16. Epilogue: How Do We Know the Facts of Demography?

    • Nathan Keyfitz

    Pages 400-418

17. Back Matter

    Pages 419-441

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What follows is a new edition of the second in a series of three books providing an account of the mathematical development of demography. The first, Introduction to the Mathematics of Population (Addison-Wesley, 1968), gave the mathematical background. The second, the original of the present volume, was concerned with demography itself. The third in the sequence, Mathematics Through Problems (with John Beekman; Springer­ Verlag, 1982), supplemented the first two with an ordered sequence of problems and answers. Readers interested in the mathematics may consult the earlier book, republished with revisions by Addison-Wesley in 1977 and still in print. There is no overlap in subject matter between Applied Mathematical Demography and the Introduction to the Mathematics of Population. Three new chapters have been added, dealing with matters that have come recently into the demographic limelight: multi-state calculations, family demogra­ phy, and heterogeneity. vii PREFACE This book is concerned with commonsense questions about, for instance, the effect of a lowered death rate on the proportion of old people or the effect of abortions on the birth rate. The answers that it reaches are not always commonsense, and we will meet instances in which intuition has to be adjusted to accord with what the mathematics shows to be the case.

• REFA
• death
• demography
• development
• family
• forecasting
• instability
• mathematics
• mortality
• state

• IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria

  Nathan Keyfitz

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