Cohort Analysis in Social Research

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-viii

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2. Introduction: Beyond the Identification Problem

   • William M. Mason, Stephen E. Fienberg

   Pages 1-8

3. The Cohort as a Concept in the Study of Social Change

   • Norman B. Ryder

   Pages 9-44

4. Specification and Implementation of Age, Period and Cohort Models

   • Stephen E. Fienberg, William M. Mason

   Pages 45-88

5. Age, Period, and Cohort Effects in Demography: A Review

   • John Hobcraft, Jane Menken, Samuel Preston

   Pages 89-135

6. Using Longitudinal Data to Estimate Age, Period and Cohort Effects in Earnings Equations

   • James Heckman, Richard Robb

   Pages 137-150

7. Age-Period-Cohort Analysis and the Study of Deaths from Pulmonary Tuberculosis

   • William M. Mason, Herbert L. Smith

   Pages 151-227

8. Analysis of Age, Period, and Cohort Effects in Marital Fertility

   • Robert A. Johnson

   Pages 229-257

9. Dynamic Modeling of Cohort Change: The Case of Political Partisanship

   • Gregory B. Markus

   Pages 259-287

10. Generations, Cohorts, and Conformity

    • Otis Dudley Duncan

    Pages 289-321

11. Simultaneous Analysis of Longitudinal Data From Several Cohorts

    • Karl G. Jöreskog, Dag Sörbom

    Pages 323-341

12. Statistics and the Scientific Method

    • David A. Freedman

    Pages 343-366

13. Reply to Freedman

    • Karl G. Jöreskog, Dag Sörbom

    Pages 367-370

14. Comments on and Reactions to Freedman, Statistics and the Scientific Method

    • Stephen E. Fienberg

    Pages 371-383

15. A Rejoinder to Fienberg’s Comments

    • David A. Freedman

    Pages 385-390

16. Back Matter

    Pages 391-400

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The existence of the present volume can be traced to methodological concerns about cohort analysis, all of which were evident throughout most of the social sciences by the late 1970s. For some social scientists, they became part of a broader discussion concerning the need for new analytical techniques for research based on longitudinal data. In 1976, the Social Science Research Council (SSRC), with funds from the National Institute of Education, established a Committee on the Methodology of Longitudinal Research. (The scholars who comprised this committee are listed at the front of this volume. ) As part of the efforts of this Committee, an interdisciplinary conference on cohort analysis was held in the summer of 1979, in Snowmass, Colorado. Much of the work presented here stems from that conference, the purpose of which was to promote the development of general methodological tools for the study of social change. The conference included five major presentations by (1) William Mason and Herbert Smith, (2) Karl J6reskog and Dag S6rbom, (3) Gregory Markus, (4) John Hobcraft, Jane Menken and Samuel Preston, and (5) Stephen Fienberg and William Mason. The formal presentations were each followed by extensive discussion, which involved as participants: Paul Baltes, William Butz, Philip Converse, Otis Dudley Duncan, David Freedman, William Meredith, John Nesselroade, Daniel Price, Thomas Pullum, Peter Read, Matilda White Riley, Norman Ryder, Warren Sanderson, Warner Schaie, Burton Singer, Nancy Tuma, Harrison White, and Halliman Winsborough.

• Analysis
• calculus
• development
• education
• research

• The Population Studies Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA

  William M. Mason

• Department of Statistics, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, USA

  Stephen E. Fienberg

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