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  • © 2001

Curve Ball

Baseball, Statistics, and the Role of Chance in the Game

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Table of contents (13 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xxii
  2. Simple Models from Tabletop Baseball Games

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 1-25
  3. Exploring Baseball Data

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 27-50
  4. Introducing Probability

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 51-70
  5. Situational Effects

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 71-109
  6. Streakiness (or, The Hot Hand)

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 111-144
  7. Measuring Offensive Performance

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 145-176
  8. Average Runs per Play

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 177-205
  9. The Curvature of Baseball

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 207-241
  10. Making Sense of Baseball Strategy

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 243-265
  11. Measuring Clutch Play

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 267-322
  12. Prediction

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 323-348
  13. Did the Best Team Win?

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 349-380
  14. Postgame Comments (A Brief Afterword)

    • Jim Albert, Jay Bennett
    Pages 381-384
  15. Back Matter

    Pages 385-410

About this book

In its formative years, from the 1970s through the 1990s, sabermetrics was p- marily an amateur undertaking. Publications were aimed at a relatively small audience of baseball fans. To be sure, this ever-growing group of aficionados brought a lot of sophistication to baseball analysis, and were constantly looking for statistical insights beyond the listings of the top ten batters found in popular newspapers and magazines. But their influence on the baseball profession was very limited. A few consultants like Craig Wright developed temporary relati- ships with various teams, but none were able to stay long enough to create a p- manent sabermetrician staff position. (See Rob Neyer’s November 11, 2002, arti- 1 cle on ESPN. com. ) All of this changed, however, in 2002 with the hiring of Bill James by the Boston Red Sox. With that move, we have seen the admittance of the foremost proponent of sabermetrics into the top echelon of professional ba- ball management. The art and science of careful statistical analysis, it now seems, had made it into the big leagues. Since the publication of the first edition of Curve Ball in 2001, we have been overwhelmed by the positive responses from readers and critics. We’re pleased with the reception, of course, but we don’t want to rest on our laurels. Like a pitcher refining his repertoire, we’ve revised, expanded, and updated the book for its publication in this paperback edition. Several readers and critics took us 1 http://espn. go. com/mlb/columns/neyer_rob/1456664.

Reviews

From the reviews:

"...a most interesting and useful introduction to the subject. It should make enjoyable reading for physicists who are also baseball fans, and it ought to be required reading for baseball managers, executives, and commentators."   PHYSICS TODAY


"...a smart and energetic collection of essays on baseball statistics. Curve Ball doesn't play misty-eyed homage to baseball's traditions and conventional wisdoms....This is great stuff....Curve Ball makes clear how pleasurable [stats] can be, and arguably how important, to view the great American game with real precision." -- The Wall Street Journal

"Rating: 4.5 out of 5. Must own!" -- Baseballnotebook.com

"In [Curve Ball] Albert & Bennett explain the game in ways the conventional press - even titans such as Bill James - cannot." -- Baseball America

"[The book] illustrates how statistical reasoning can be useful in teasing out the role of chance from performance in baseball to better assess ability....Curve Ball represents another advance in the genre of baseball and statistics books." -- Journal of the American Statistical Association

"This is a very good, fun and highly interesting book, applying some straightforward, and some more difficult, statistical estimation and modeling concepts to baseball. … I am a statistician, and mostly Bayesian at that, and this definitely enhanced my interest and enjoyment of the book. … Initially this book starts out as a sneaky introduction to statistics and Bayesian concepts, however, it turns into a delight for sports fans and statisticians alike. Highly recommended … ." (Richard Gerlach, Gazette, Vol. 31 (5), 2004)

"This book treats a wide variety of topics, including: comparing measures of batting ability; the impact of situation on performance; streaks; measuring a player’s clutch performance; and did the best team win the World Series. This book has the appealing quality that you can start reading at almost any chapter and enjoy and understand the journey. And for those of us who are not statisticians by training, we can also learn some statistics." (Zentralblatt für Didaktik der Mathematik, September, 2003)

"Curve Ball … is a necessary addition to any library. … Written for all followers of baseball, this book caters to those who find joy in reading (and if you are like me, memorizing) the statistics on the backs of baseball cards or who played baseball simulation games … . For readers possessing no knowledge of statistics, this book is a great way of learning how to view and interpret data from a statistician’s standpoint. Readers with statistics backgrounds will enjoy the book … ." (Jonathan L. Templin, Chance, Vol. 15 (4), 2002)

Bibliographic Information

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access