The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis

A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections

Authors: Smith, Stanley K., Tayman, Jeff, Swanson, David A.

  • Covers both the methodology and analysis of population projections  
  • Includes projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment)
  • Focuses on problems unique to small areas
see more benefits

Buy this book

eBook $119.00
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-94-007-7551-0
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $159.00
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-94-007-7550-3
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
Softcover $159.00
price for USA
  • Customers within the U.S. and Canada please contact Customer Service at 1-800-777-4643, Latin America please contact us at +1-212-460-1500 (Weekdays 8:30am – 5:30pm ET) to place your order.
  • Due: November 3, 2016
  • ISBN 978-94-024-0275-9
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
About this book

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections.    The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources.   This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.​

Reviews

“In fourteen chapters it provides the reader with the necessary tools for creating numerous population projection methods. … both graduate and upper-level undergraduate students could use this book as the sole textbook for a course, or as a supplement focusing on select chapters. Similarly, those who need a refresher on specific projection fundamentals will find this book full of helpful information. … Reading this book is an eye-opening journey into the complex world of population projections/forecasts.” (Alison Yacyshyn, Canadian Studies in population, Vol. 42 (3-4), 2015)


Table of contents (14 chapters)

  • Rationale, Terminology, Scope

    Smith, Stanley K. (et al.)

    Pages 1-18

  • Fundamentals of Population Analysis

    Smith, Stanley K. (et al.)

    Pages 19-43

  • Overview of the Cohort-Component Method

    Smith, Stanley K. (et al.)

    Pages 45-50

  • Mortality

    Smith, Stanley K. (et al.)

    Pages 51-76

  • Fertility

    Smith, Stanley K. (et al.)

    Pages 77-101

Buy this book

eBook $119.00
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-94-007-7551-0
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $159.00
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-94-007-7550-3
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
Softcover $159.00
price for USA
  • Customers within the U.S. and Canada please contact Customer Service at 1-800-777-4643, Latin America please contact us at +1-212-460-1500 (Weekdays 8:30am – 5:30pm ET) to place your order.
  • Due: November 3, 2016
  • ISBN 978-94-024-0275-9
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
Loading...

Recommended for you

Loading...

Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections
Authors
Series Title
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
Series Volume
37
Copyright
2013
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Copyright Holder
Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
eBook ISBN
978-94-007-7551-0
DOI
10.1007/978-94-007-7551-0
Hardcover ISBN
978-94-007-7550-3
Softcover ISBN
978-94-024-0275-9
Series ISSN
1389-6784
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XV, 411
Number of Illustrations and Tables
26 b/w illustrations
Topics