The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis

Household and Living Arrangement Projections

The Extended Cohort-Component Method and Applications to the U.S. and China

Authors: Zeng, Y., Land, K.C., Gu, D., Wang, Z.

  • Presents an innovative demographic forecasting method that helps to make detailed household, living arrangement and population projections at the national, sub-national or small area levels
  • Features applications in the United States and China to demographic, social, economic, and business research/policy analysis
  • Offers an invaluable tool kit
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Buy this book

eBook $119.00
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-90-481-8906-9
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: EPUB, PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $159.00
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-90-481-8905-2
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
Softcover $159.00
price for USA
  • Customers within the U.S. and Canada please contact Customer Service at 1-800-777-4643, Latin America please contact us at +1-212-460-1500 (Weekdays 8:30am – 5:30pm ET) to place your order.
  • Due: November 4, 2016
  • ISBN 978-94-024-0496-8
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
About this book

This book presents an innovative demographic toolkit known as the ProFamy extended cohort-component method for the projection of household structures and living arrangements with empirical applications to the United States, the largest developed country, and China, the largest developing country. The ProFamy method uses demographic rates as inputs to project detailed distributions of household types and sizes, living arrangements of all household members, and population by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and urban/rural residence at national, sub-national, or small area levels.  It can also project elderly care needs and costs, pension deficits, and household consumption. The ProFamy method presented herein has substantial merits compared to the traditional headship rate method, which is not linked to demographic rates and projects limited household types without other household members than "heads".

The book consists of four parts. The first part presents the methodology, data, estimation issues, and empirical assessments. The next parts present applications in the United States (part two) and China (part three), concerning demographic, social, economic, and business research; policy analysis, including forecasting future trends of household type/size, elderly living arrangements, disability, and home-based care costs, and household consumption including housing and vehicles. The fourth part includes a user’s guide for the ProFamy software to project households, living arrangements, and home-based consumptions.

This book offers an invaluable toolkit for researchers, analysts and students in academic, public and private businesses, whose work is related to levels and rates of change in households, population and consumption patterns.

Reviews

This book is a very important reference for household projections. It represents the state-of-the-art, has great applications (US and China) and contains a clear description of the software.

Frans Willekens, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany


Table of contents (18 chapters)

  • Introduction

    Zeng, Yi (et al.)

    Pages 1-15

  • ProFamy: The Extended Cohort-Component Method for Household and Living Arrangement Projections

    Zeng, Yi (et al.)

    Pages 19-48

  • Data Needs and Estimation Procedures

    Zeng, Yi (et al.)

    Pages 49-72

  • Empirical Assessments and a Comparison with the Headship Rate Method

    Zeng, Yi (et al.)

    Pages 73-90

  • Extension of ProFamy Model to Project Elderly Disability Status and Home-Based Care Costs, with an Illustrative Application

    Zeng, Yi (et al.)

    Pages 91-108

Buy this book

eBook $119.00
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-90-481-8906-9
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: EPUB, PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $159.00
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-90-481-8905-2
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
Softcover $159.00
price for USA
  • Customers within the U.S. and Canada please contact Customer Service at 1-800-777-4643, Latin America please contact us at +1-212-460-1500 (Weekdays 8:30am – 5:30pm ET) to place your order.
  • Due: November 4, 2016
  • ISBN 978-94-024-0496-8
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Household and Living Arrangement Projections
Book Subtitle
The Extended Cohort-Component Method and Applications to the U.S. and China
Authors
Series Title
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
Series Volume
36
Copyright
2014
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Copyright Holder
Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
eBook ISBN
978-90-481-8906-9
DOI
10.1007/978-90-481-8906-9
Hardcover ISBN
978-90-481-8905-2
Softcover ISBN
978-94-024-0496-8
Series ISSN
1389-6784
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XXIX, 357
Number of Illustrations and Tables
25 b/w illustrations, 54 illustrations in colour
Topics