Current Chinese Economic Report Series

China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, February 2013

Authors: CMR of Xiamen University

  • A quarterly forecast and analysis report on China's macroeconomic outlook, based on China's Quarterly Macroeconometric Model (CQMM)
  • High reference value for entrepreneurs to project China's macroeconomic performance in the coming years and review possible effectiveness of macroeconomic policies
  • A platform to aid understanding of China's macroeconomic behavior and policy dynamics
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  • ISBN 978-3-642-40044-5
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About this book

The research team makes the following forecasts: First, in 2013 China’s growth will remain stable and reach 8.23 percent, an increase of 0.43 percentage points compared with the previous year; even though there is inflation pressure resulting from global monetary easing, severe inflation in China is unlikely to happen, and the consumer price index (CPI) will remain at 3.11 percent. Second, the growth of imports and exports will rebound, but the trade surplus will decrease further. Finally, the share of investment in GDP will continue to be high in the short term as urbanization promotes the growth of fixed assets investment, though higher per capita incomes will result in high and steady consumption.

Table of contents (5 chapters)

  • A Review of China’s Economy in 2012

    Pages 1-8

  • Forecast of China’s Macroeconomic Outlook for 2013–2014

    Pages 9-18

  • Policy Simulation

    Pages 19-27

  • Policy Implications and Suggestions

    Pages 29-34

  • Comments and Discussions

    Pages 35-41

Buy this book

eBook  
  • ISBN 978-3-642-40044-5
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: EPUB, PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
China’s Macroeconomic Outlook
Book Subtitle
Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, February 2013
Authors
Series Title
Current Chinese Economic Report Series
Copyright
2014
Publisher
Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
Copyright Holder
Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
eBook ISBN
978-3-642-40044-5
DOI
10.1007/978-3-642-40044-5
Series ISSN
2194-7937
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XII, 41
Number of Illustrations and Tables
24 illustrations in colour
Topics