SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science

Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

Authors: Schröder, Winfried, Schmidt, Gunther

  • Offers a sophisticated risk assessment approach which links epidemiological and geostatistical measures
  • Applies regional temperature projections to research on the impacts of climate change
  • Shows how modeling can help to identify areas at risk in an epidemiological context with the aim of initiating preventative measures
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eBook $39.99
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-3-319-03823-0
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF, EPUB
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Softcover $54.99
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-3-319-03822-3
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
About this book

This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.

Table of contents (4 chapters)

  • Background and Goals

    Schröder, Winfried (et al.)

    Pages 1-6

  • Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony

    Schröder, Winfried (et al.)

    Pages 7-28

  • Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Risks of Malaria Outbreaks in Germany

    Schröder, Winfried (et al.)

    Pages 29-46

  • Conclusions and Outlook

    Schröder, Winfried (et al.)

    Pages 47-58

Buy this book

eBook $39.99
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-3-319-03823-0
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF, EPUB
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Softcover $54.99
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-3-319-03822-3
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
Book Subtitle
A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
Authors
Series Title
SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
Copyright
2014
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Copyright Holder
The Author(s)
eBook ISBN
978-3-319-03823-0
DOI
10.1007/978-3-319-03823-0
Softcover ISBN
978-3-319-03822-3
Series ISSN
2191-5547
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
VIII, 58
Number of Illustrations and Tables
3 b/w illustrations, 15 illustrations in colour
Topics