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International Series in Operations Research & Management Science

Improving Risk Analysis

Authors: Cox Jr., Louis Anthony

  • ​Demonstrates how individuals, groups, companies, organizations, communities, and societies can use improved techniques of risk analysis to better understand uncertain risks and make more effective decisions
  • Includes real-world examples and case studies drawn from health, safety, environmental, and terrorism risk analysis to illustrate the practical application of techniques
  • Author is a prominent leader in the application of OR to risk management
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Buy this book

eBook $159.00
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-1-4614-6058-9
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF, EPUB
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $209.00
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-1-4614-6057-2
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
Softcover $209.00
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-1-4939-0183-8
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
About this book

Improving Risk Analysis shows how to better assess and manage uncertain risks when the consequences of alternative actions are in doubt.  The constructive methods of causal analysis and risk modeling presented in this monograph will enable to better understand uncertain risks and decide how to manage them.

The book is divided into three parts. Parts 1 shows how high-quality risk analysis can improve the clarity and effectiveness of individual, community, and enterprise decisions when the consequences of different choices are uncertain. Part 2 discusses social decisions.  Part 3 illustrates these methods and models, showing how to apply them to health effects of particulate air pollution.

"Tony Cox’s new book addresses what risk analysts and policy makers most need to know:  How to find out what causes what, and how to quantify the practical differences that changes in risk management practices would make. The constructive methods in Improving Risk Analysis will be invaluable in helping practitioners to deliver more useful insights to inform high-stakes decisions and policy,in areas ranging from disaster planning to counter-terrorism investments to enterprise risk management to air pollution abatement policies.  Better risk management is possible and practicable; Improving Risk Analysis explains how."
Elisabeth Pate-Cornell, Stanford University

"Improving Risk Analysis offers crucial advice for moving policy-relevant risk analyses towards more defensible, causally-based methods. Tony Cox draws on his extensive experience to offer sound advice and insights that will be invaluable to both policy makers and analysts in strengthening the foundations for important risk analyses. This much-needed book should be required reading for policy makers and policy analysts confronting uncertain risks and seeking more trustworthy risk analyses."
Seth Guikema, Johns Hopkins University

"Tony Cox has been a trail blazer in quantitative risk analysis, and his new book gives readers the knowledge and tools needed to cut through the complexity and advocacy inherent in risk analysis.  Cox’s careful exposition is detailed and thorough, yet accessible to non-technical readers interested in understanding uncertain risks and the outcomes associated with different mitigation actions. Improving Risk Analysis should be required reading for public officials responsible for making policy decisions about how best to protect public health and safety in an uncertain world."
Susan E. Dudley, George Washington University

Reviews

From the book reviews:

“This book is well written, broad in scope, current in topics, concise, and includes many citations. To aid readers who might have been overwhelmed by the contents in the previous chapters, the conclusions in the last chapter summarize the author’s messages. These conclusions and recommendations contrast how risk analysis is often practiced today and how it could be practiced to be more credible and useful. I believe this book will be a good source of insight for practitioners and academia.” (Seong Dae Kim, Interfaces, Vol. 44 (6), November-December, 2014)

“This excellent book presents up-to-date material, various portions of which are sure to be of great interest to several distinct audiences. … The book is full of thorough but accessible examples and case studies with extensive references to the literature. … this is an important contribution to the literature in that it bridges the gap from theory to practice, includes many fields of application, and is accessible to a wide audience.” (Charles R. Hadlock, SIAM Review, Vol. 55 (4), 2013)


Table of contents (14 chapters)

  • Causality for Risk Analysts: Improving Our Understanding of How the World Works

    Cox, Louis Anthony

    Pages 3-58

  • Improving Individual Risk Management Decisions: Learning from Experience and Coping with Model Uncertainty

    Cox, Louis Anthony

    Pages 59-95

  • Improving Community Risk Management

    Cox, Louis Anthony

    Pages 97-124

  • Improving Organizational Risk Management

    Cox, Louis Anthony

    Pages 125-154

  • Improving Defense Against Intelligent Adversaries

    Cox, Louis Anthony

    Pages 157-180

Buy this book

eBook $159.00
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-1-4614-6058-9
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF, EPUB
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover $209.00
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-1-4614-6057-2
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
Softcover $209.00
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-1-4939-0183-8
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Improving Risk Analysis
Authors
Series Title
International Series in Operations Research & Management Science
Series Volume
185
Copyright
2013
Publisher
Springer-Verlag New York
Copyright Holder
The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2018
eBook ISBN
978-1-4614-6058-9
DOI
10.1007/978-1-4614-6058-9
Hardcover ISBN
978-1-4614-6057-2
Softcover ISBN
978-1-4939-0183-8
Series ISSN
0884-8289
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XXV, 386
Number of Illustrations and Tables
23 b/w illustrations, 16 illustrations in colour
Topics