Statistics for Biology and Health

Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations

Editors: Manton, Kenneth G., Singer, Burton, Suzman, Richard M. (Eds.)

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  • ISBN 978-1-4613-9332-0
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Softcover $139.00
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About this book

Models to forecast changes in mortality, morbidity, and disability in elderly populations are essential to national and state policies for health and welfare programs. This volume presents a wide-ranging survey of the forecasting of health of elderly populations, including the modelling of the incidence of chronic diseases in the elderly, the differing perspectives of actuarial and health care statistics, and an assessment of the impact of new technologies on the elderly population. Amongst the topics covered are - uncertainties in projections from census and social security data and actuarial approaches to forecasting - plausible ranges for population growth using biol ogical models and epidemiological time series data - the financing of long term care programs - the effects of major disabling diseases on health expenditures - forecasting cancer risks and risk factors As a result, this wide-ranging volume will become an indispensable reference for all those whose research touches on these topics.

Reviews

"...presents several challenges to the reader in that it covers a wide variety of topics in varying amounts of detail...References to the literature in all the related fields are extensive and up to date...In summary, this book is a worthwhile addition to the literature on aging research." (Journal of the American Statistical Association)

Table of contents (15 chapters)

  • The Scientific and Policy Needs for Improved Health Forecasting Models for Elderly Populations

    Manton, Kenneth G. (et al.)

    Pages 3-35

  • Actuarial and Demographic Forecasting Methods

    Tolley, H. Dennis (et al.)

    Pages 39-49

  • Demographic Change in the United States, 1970 – 2050

    Preston, Samuel H.

    Pages 51-77

  • Health Forecasting and Models of Aging

    Manton, Kenneth G.

    Pages 79-106

  • Cancer Forecasting: Cohort Models of Disease Progression and Mortality

    Manton, Kenneth G. (et al.)

    Pages 109-136

Buy this book

eBook $109.00
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-1-4613-9332-0
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Softcover $139.00
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-1-4613-9334-4
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations
Editors
  • Kenneth G. Manton
  • Burton Singer
  • Richard M. Suzman
Series Title
Statistics for Biology and Health
Copyright
1993
Publisher
Springer-Verlag New York
Copyright Holder
Springer-Verlag New York, Inc.
eBook ISBN
978-1-4613-9332-0
DOI
10.1007/978-1-4613-9332-0
Softcover ISBN
978-1-4613-9334-4
Series ISSN
1431-8776
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
X, 371
Topics