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Springer Gabler - Finanzdienstleistungen | Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy

Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy

Gell, Sebastian

2012, XXIV, 125p. 7 illus..

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Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the reliability of such forecasts. This thesis therefore investigates new determinants of forecast errors and accuracy. In addition, new determinants of forecast revisions are examined. Sebastian Gell gives answer to the following questions: How do analyst incentives lead to forecast errors? How do changes in analyst incentives lead to forecast revisions?  And what factors drive differences in forecast accuracy?

Content Level » Research

Keywords » Determinants of forecast accuracy - Determinants of forecast error - Determinants of forecast revision - Forecast Environment

Related subjects » Finanzdienstleistungen

Table of contents 

Determinations of Earnigs Forecast Errors

Using Forecast Errors to Explain Revisions

The Impact of Forecast Effort and Investment Advice on Accuracy

 

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