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Agrimonde – Scenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050

  • Book
  • © 2014

Overview

Editors:
  1. Sandrine Paillard

    1. INRA, Paris, France

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    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

  2. Sébastien Treyer

    1. IDDRI, Paris, France

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    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

  3. Bruno Dorin

    1. CIRAD, Montpellier, France

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  • A unique compendium of international agricultural and food statistics
  • A unique interdisciplinary foresight exercise
  • A French vision of sustainable development and its main challenges
  • Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras

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Table of contents (12 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xxi
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  2. Agrimonde: A Platform for Facilitating Collective Scenario-Building

    • Sébastien Treyer, Sandrine Paillard, Bruno Dorin
    Pages 1-8

  3. Agribiom: A Tool for Scenario-Building and Hybrid Modelling

    • Bruno Dorin, Tristan Le Cotty
    Pages 9-35

  4. The World Food Economy: A Retrospective Overview

    • Bruno Dorin
    Pages 37-47

  5. Scenario-Building Choices and Principles

    • Sandrine Paillard, Tévécia Ronzon, Sébastien Treyer
    Pages 49-58

  6. Food Consumption In 2050

    • Jean-Marc Chaumet, Gérard Ghersi, Jean-Louis Rastoin
    Pages 59-72

  7. Land Use in 2050

    • Tévécia Ronzon
    Pages 73-99

  8. Food Crop Yields in 2050

    • Tévécia Ronzon
    Pages 101-122

  9. Resource-Use Balances in the Agrimonde Scenarios

    • Tristan Le Cotty, Jean-Marc Chaumet
    Pages 123-140

  10. Agrimonde 1 and Agrimonde GO: Comparison, Coherence, Drivers of Change

    • Tévécia Ronzon, Jean-Marc Chaumet, Sandrine Paillard
    Pages 141-164

  11. Qualitative Dimensions and Agrimonde Scenario Storylines

    • Sandrine Paillard, Sébastien Treyer
    Pages 165-177

  12. Scenario-Based Insight into Food Behaviours, Technological Options and Trade

    • Jean-Marc Chaumet, Francis Delpeuch, Gérard Ghersi, Jean-Louis Rastoin, Bernard Hubert, Tévécia Ronzon et al.
    Pages 179-195

  13. Conclusion

    • Bernard Hubert, Patrick Caron, Hervé Guyomard
    Pages 197-203

  14. Back Matter

    Pages 205-250
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Keywords

About this book

How will the world be able to feed close to 9 billion people in 2050 and still maintain the ecosystems? In this perspective, INRA and CIRAD launched the initiative, in 2006, to develop a foresight project for analysing issues pertaining to the world's food and agricultural systems on the 2050 timeline. This book provides a synthetic presentation of the main conclusions that this foresight project has yielded. First, it recapitulates the main statistical references for the period 1961 to 2003, before going on to describe the Agribiom simulation tool used to calculate food biomass resource use balances. Two scenarios on the 2050 timeline are then considered: Agrimonde GO is a trend-based scenario that bets on economic growth to feed the world, in a context where environmental protection is not a priority; in contrast, the idea in Agrimonde 1 is to feed the world while preserving its ecosystems.

Editors and Affiliations

  • INRA, Paris, France

    Sandrine Paillard

  • IDDRI, Paris, France

    Sébastien Treyer

  • CIRAD, Montpellier, France

    Bruno Dorin

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: Agrimonde – Scenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050

  • Editors: Sandrine Paillard, Sébastien Treyer, Bruno Dorin

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-8745-1

  • Publisher: Springer Dordrecht

  • eBook Packages: Biomedical and Life Sciences, Biomedical and Life Sciences (R0)

  • Copyright Information: © Éditions Quæ, 2014 2014

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-94-017-8744-4Published: 30 April 2014

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-94-024-0263-6Published: 03 September 2016

  • eBook ISBN: 978-94-017-8745-1Published: 14 April 2014

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XXI, 250

  • Number of Illustrations: 9 b/w illustrations, 80 illustrations in colour

  • Additional Information: Jointly published with Éditions Quæ, R10,78026 Versailles cedex, France

  • Topics: Agriculture, Sustainable Development, Agricultural Economics

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