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  • © 2018

China‘s Macroeconomic Outlook

Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, October 2017

  • Provides a comprehensive overview of China’s economic performance
  • Reports the projection of China’s major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters
  • Illustrates the simulation results about the effects of policy on the Chinese economy

Part of the book series: Current Chinese Economic Report Series (CCERS)

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Table of contents (5 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xv
  2. China’s Economic Performance in the First Half of 2017

    • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 1-22
  3. Quarterly Forecast for 2017–18

    • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 23-34
  4. Policy Simulation: Effects of Changing Budget Constraints on the Non-financial SOEs

    • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 35-50
  5. Policy Implications and Suggestions

    • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 51-53
  6. Appendix: Report on the Questionnaire Survey on China’s Macroeconomic Situation and Policy in 2017

    • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 55-62

About this book

This report is a partial result of the China’s Quarterly Macroeconometric Model (CQMM), a project developed and maintained by the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. The CMR is one of the Key Research Institutes of Humanities and Social Sciences sponsored by the Ministry of Education of China, focusing on China’s economic forecast and macroeconomic policy analysis. The CMR started to develop the CQMM for purpose of short-term forecasting, policy analysis, and simulation in 2005.


Based on the CQMM, the CMR and its partners hold press conferences to release forecasts for China’ major macroeconomic variables. Since July, 2006, twenty-two quarterly reports on China’s macroeconomic outlook have been presented and eleventh annual reports have been published. 


This 23rd quarterly report is to be presented at the Forum on China’s Macroeconomic Outlook and Press Conference of CQMM on October 27, 2017. This conference is jointly held at Oxford University by Oxford Prospects and Global Development Centre, University of Oxford, Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University, and Economic Information Daily at Xinhua News Agency.


Authors and Affiliations

  • Center for Macroeconomic Research, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China

    Xiamen University Center for Macroeconomic Research of

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: China‘s Macroeconomic Outlook

  • Book Subtitle: Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, October 2017

  • Authors: Xiamen University Center for Macroeconomic Research of

  • Series Title: Current Chinese Economic Report Series

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-8096-8

  • Publisher: Springer Singapore

  • eBook Packages: Economics and Finance, Economics and Finance (R0)

  • Copyright Information: Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2018

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-981-10-8095-1Published: 05 March 2018

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-981-13-4063-5Published: 25 January 2019

  • eBook ISBN: 978-981-10-8096-8Published: 21 February 2018

  • Series ISSN: 2194-7937

  • Series E-ISSN: 2194-7945

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XV, 62

  • Number of Illustrations: 1 b/w illustrations, 49 illustrations in colour

  • Topics: Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics, Asian Economics, Development Economics

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access