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China's Macroeconomic Outlook

Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, February 2019

  • Book
  • © 2019

Overview

Authors:
  1. Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University

    1. Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University, Xiamen, China

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  • Reviews China’s economic performance in 2018
  • Forecasts the main macroeconomic indicators for the next eight quarters
  • Simulates the effects of China’s macroeconomic policies

Part of the book series: Current Chinese Economic Report Series (CCERS)

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Table of contents (4 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xv
    Download chapter PDF

  2. Review of China’s Macroeconomy in 2018

    • Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University
    Pages 1-16

  3. China’s Macroeconomic Forecast for 2019–2020

    • Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University
    Pages 17-28

  4. Two Scenarios to Analyze the Effects of Reducing Social Insurance Rate

    • Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University
    Pages 29-42

  5. Policy Recommendations

    • Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University
    Pages 43-47

  6. Back Matter

    Pages 49-74
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Keywords

About this book

This report is a partial result of the China’s Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM), a project developed and maintained by the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. The CMR, one of the Key Research Institutes of Humanities and Social Sciences sponsored by the Ministry of Education of China, has been focusing on China’s economic forecast and macroeconomic policy analysis, and it started to develop the CQMM for purpose of short-term forecasting, policy analysis, and simulation in 2005.


Based on the CQMM, the CMR and its partners hold press conferences to release forecasts for China’s major macroeconomic variables. Since July, 2006, twenty-six quarterly reports on China’s macroeconomic outlook have been presented and thirteen annual reports have been published. 


This report, the twenty-sixth quarterly report, has been presented at the Forum on China’s Macroeconomic Outlook and Press Conference of CQMMon February 26, 2019. This conference was jointly held at Beijing by the CMR and the Economic Information Daily at Xinhua News Agency





Authors and Affiliations

  • Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University, Xiamen, China

    Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: China's Macroeconomic Outlook

  • Book Subtitle: Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, February 2019

  • Authors: Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University

  • Series Title: Current Chinese Economic Report Series

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-9357-0

  • Publisher: Springer Singapore

  • eBook Packages: Economics and Finance, Economics and Finance (R0)

  • Copyright Information: Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2019

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-981-13-9356-3Published: 21 August 2019

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-981-13-9359-4Published: 21 August 2020

  • eBook ISBN: 978-981-13-9357-0Published: 08 August 2019

  • Series ISSN: 2194-7937

  • Series E-ISSN: 2194-7945

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XV, 74

  • Number of Illustrations: 1 b/w illustrations, 37 illustrations in colour

  • Topics: Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics, Econometrics, Economic Policy

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