Environmental Impact Assessment, Technology Assessment, and Risk Analysis

1. Front Matter

   Pages I-X

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2. Overview

   1. Social and Behavioral Research on Risk: Uses in Risk Management Decisionmaking

      • Vincent T. Covello

      Pages 1-14

   2. Risk Theory and the Environmental Assessment Process

      • James E. Dooley

      Pages 15-47

   3. Assessing Long-Range Cumulative Impacts

      • Evan Vlachos

      Pages 49-80

   4. The Impact of EIA on Decisionmaking

      • Timothy O’Riordan

      Pages 81-90

   5. Opportunities for the Social Sciences in Risk Analysis—An Engineer’s Viewpoint

      • Chris Whipple

      Pages 91-103

3. Psychological Perspectives

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 105-105

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   2. Theoretical and Methodological Contributions

      1. The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice

         • Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman

         Pages 107-129

      2. Rating the Risks: The Structure Of Expert And Lay Perceptions

         • Paul Slovic, Baruch Fischhoff, Sarah Lichtenstein

         Pages 131-156

      3. Large-Scale Risk As a Problem Of Technological, Psychological and Political Judgment

         • Charles Vlek, Hans Kuyper, Henk Boer

         Pages 157-210

      4. Psychological Perspectives on Technology as Societal Option, Source of Hazard and Generator of Environmental Impacts

         • Kenneth H. Craik

         Pages 211-236

      5. Prediction, Diagnosis, and Causal Thinking in Forecasting

         • Hillel J. Einhorn, Robin M. Hogarth

         Pages 237-258

      6. Risk Judgment and the Communication of Hazard Information: Toward a New Look in the Study of Risk Perception

         • Timothy C. Earle, George Cvetovich

         Pages 259-312

      7. “Who’s Afraid of Technological Risk?”: An Attempt to Model Reasonable Emotions

         • P. J. M. Stallen

         Pages 313-323

      8. Psychological Aspects of Scenarios

         • Helmut Jungermann

         Pages 325-346

   3. Case Studies

      1. The Empirical Investigation of Citizens’ Preferences with Respect to Four Energy Scenarios

         • O. Renn, H. U. Stegelmann, G. Albrecht, U. Kotte

         Pages 349-402

      2. Attitude Studies by the IAEA/IIASA Risk Assessment Group

         • O. Renn, E. Swaton

         Pages 403-452

      3. Structure of Public Opinion, Nuclear Debate and Risk Assessment: A French Survey

         • E. Stemmelen, F. Fagnani, J. L. Brenot, J. P. Pages, J. Fagnani

         Pages 453-483

      4. Improving Scientists’ Judgments of Risk

         • Kenneth R. Hammond, Barry F. Anderson, Jeffrey Sutherland, Barbara Marvin

         Pages 485-514

4. Decision and System Science Perspectives

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 515-515

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This volume is the outcome of a recent NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI) on "Technology Assessment. Environmental Impact Assessment. and Risk Analysis: Contributions from the Psychological and Decision Sciences." The Institute was held in Les Arcs. France and functioned as a high level teaching activity during which scientific research results were presented in detail by eminent lecturers. Support for the Institute was provided by grants from the NATO Division of Scientific Affairs. the u.S. Office of Naval Research. and the Russell Sage Foundation. The Institute covered several areas of research. including quantitative studies on decision and judgmental processes. studies on human intellectual limitations. studies on risk attitudes and perceptions. studies on factors contributing to conflicts and disputes about hazardous technologies and activities. studies on factors influencing forecasts and judgments by experts. studies on public preferences for decisionmaking processes. studies on public responses to technological hazards. and case studies applying principles and methods from the psychological and decision sciences in specific settings.

• Analysis
• environment
• health
• management
• research
• risk analysis
• risk assessment
• landscape/regional and urban planning

• U.S. National Science Foundation, USA

  Vincent T. Covello

• State University of New York at Albany, Albany, USA

  Jeryl L. Mumpower

• Centre for Technology and Policy Studies, Apeldoorn, The Netherlands

  Pieter J. M. Stallen

• Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, USA

  V. R. R. Uppuluri

Policies and ethics