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Statistics for Social and Behavioral Sciences

Bayesian Evaluation of Informative Hypotheses

Editors: Hoijtink, Herbert, Klugkist, Irene, Boelen, Paul (Eds.)

  • This book provides a step-by-step explanation aimed mainly at social scientists, of how to formulate and evaluate a set of informative hypotheses (including references to software). It is a comprehensive book that can easily be accessed by social scientists introducing and elaborating the approach from a philosophical, statistical and psychological point of view.

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eBook 107,09 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-0-387-09612-4
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover 135,19 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-0-387-09611-7
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
Softcover 135,19 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-1-4419-1874-1
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
About this book

This book presents an alternative for traditional null hypothesis testing. It builds on the idea that researchers usually have more informative research-questions than the "nothing is going on" null hypothesis, or the "something is going on" alternative hypothesis. To be more precise, researchers often express their expectations in terms of expected orderings in parameters, for instance, in group means. This book introduces a novel approach, wherein theories or expectations of empirical researchers are translated into one or more so-called informative hypotheses, i.e., hypotheses imposing inequality constraints on (some of) the model parameters. As a consequence, informative hypotheses are much closer to the actual questions researchers have and therefore make optimal use of the data to provide more informative answers to these questions.

A Bayesian approach is used for the evaluation of informative hypotheses and is introduced at a non-technical level in the context of analysis of variance models. Technical aspects of Bayesian evaluation of informative hypotheses are also considered and different approaches are presented by an international group of Bayesian statisticians. Furthermore, applications in a variety of statistical models including among others latent class analysis and multi-level modeling are presented, again at a non-technical level. Finally, the proposed method is evaluated from a psychological, statistical and philosophical point of view.

This book contains numerous illustrations, all in the context of psychology. The proposed methodology, however, is equally relevant for research in other social sciences (e.g., sociology or educational sciences), as well as in other disciplines (e.g., medical or economical research).

The editors are all affiliated at the faculty of Social Sciences at Utrecht University in the Netherlands. Herbert Hoijtink is a professor in applied Bayesian statistics at the Department of Methodology and Statistics. Irene Klugkist is assistant professor at the same department, and Paul A. Boelen is assistant professor at the Department of Clinical and Health Psychology.

Reviews

From the reviews:

“While this book is a collection of papers, the editors have done a great service to the reader by choosing three substantial psychology research studies that are used as examples throughout the book. The continuity of examples provides easy comparison among the methods and makes subsequent developments easier to follow. The book identifies open questions…and provides alternative methodologies with discussion. Each chapter provides a comprehensive bibliography, which makes this book an excellent reference. Statisticians and quantitative social scientists who are interested in a broad introduction and review of Bayesian methods for informative hypotheses, including several chapters of detailed statistical development, will find this book valuable.” (Journal of the American Statistical Association, Mar. 2010, Vol. 105, No.489)

“…Bayesian evaluation for informative hypotheses was first proposed by Hoijtink (2001). The present book collects the recent developments in the area… since then. The content…is the result of written contributions from the workshop in Utrecht in June 2007. …The book is well written … software accompanying the main topics... are available on the website. …This book is motivated largely by a number of examples in psychological and social science, resulting in the particular interest to the researchers in these fields. However researchers in other disciplines such as public health and biomedical science may find this book useful since similar questions of informative hypotheses are encountered frequently in those fields as well. The book succeeds in its aims and is undoubtedly a valuable resource for the public. I would recommend the book to psychologists and scientists in the aforementioned areas who wish to do more complicated analyses. I would also recommend this book to biostatisticians and statisticians who are keen to expand their horizons or want to attain some inspiration… .” (Biometrics 65, 1308–1309, December 2009)

"This book has been very imaginatively planned and anchored around analysis of challenging problems of (Clinical) Psychology. Not only the analyses but the design of experiments and the variables measured are very interesting. ... This is an excellent book for psychologists and Bayesian statisticians. Strongly recommended for both categories of readers." (International Statistical Review 2009, 77, 2)

“The methods developed here are applicable in areas other than ANOVA, such as ANCOVA, latent class models, and contingency tables. … For those who find ANOVA troubling … and are not so devoted to frequentist approaches as to be troubled by the use of priors (informative or not), this book provides a way forward. If you fall into this class of readers, I highly recommend that you read this book and, when appropriate, consider using the methods described therein in your own work.” (Lawrence Barker, Technometrics, Vol. 52 (3), August, 2010)


Table of contents (16 chapters)

  • An Introduction to Bayesian Evaluation of Informative Hypotheses

    Hoijtink, Herbert (et al.)

    Pages 1-3

    Preview Buy Chapter 30,19 €
  • Illustrative Psychological Data and Hypotheses for Bayesian Inequality Constrained Analysis of Variance

    Boelen, Paul A. (et al.)

    Pages 7-26

    Preview Buy Chapter 30,19 €
  • Bayesian Estimation for Inequality Constrained Analysis of Variance

    Klugkist, Irene (et al.)

    Pages 27-52

    Preview Buy Chapter 30,19 €
  • Encompassing Prior Based Model Selection for Inequality Constrained Analysis of Variance

    Klugkist, Irene

    Pages 53-83

    Preview Buy Chapter 30,19 €
  • An Evaluation of Bayesian Inequality Constrained Analysis of Variance

    Hoijtink, Herbert (et al.)

    Pages 85-108

    Preview Buy Chapter 30,19 €

Buy this book

eBook 107,09 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-0-387-09612-4
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Hardcover 135,19 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-0-387-09611-7
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
Softcover 135,19 €
price for Spain (gross)
  • ISBN 978-1-4419-1874-1
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
  • The final prices may differ from the prices shown due to specifics of VAT rules
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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Bayesian Evaluation of Informative Hypotheses
Editors
  • Herbert Hoijtink
  • Irene Klugkist
  • Paul Boelen
Series Title
Statistics for Social and Behavioral Sciences
Copyright
2008
Publisher
Springer-Verlag New York
Copyright Holder
Springer-Verlag New York
eBook ISBN
978-0-387-09612-4
DOI
10.1007/978-0-387-09612-4
Hardcover ISBN
978-0-387-09611-7
Softcover ISBN
978-1-4419-1874-1
Series ISSN
2199-7357
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XII, 361
Topics